CAPE

Temps drop like a rock here with snow cover and clear skies. Zero UHI influence and not near the water.

Nice to know we can still drop below 20 with ideal radiational cooling conditions and a nice snowpack. Wasn't sure after last winter.

Mount Holly's take on late week- The main focus is on the Thursday night into Friday time period. A potent but fast moving low pressure system should develop in the southeastern U.S. and progress off the coast around NC/VA. With this track, our region is in the favored location for mostly snow (though depending on how close the center of the low stays to our coast, there may be a brief period of rain or sleet at the start of precipitation. Models came into better agreement with the track of this low (as compared to yesterday when some models were still showing a weak/surpressed system), however there remain some timing differences. Most guidance seems to be in agreement that this will be a quick impact (no more than 12 hours of precip), but there is question if it will be from late Thursday night through mid day Friday, or be primarily during the day Friday. The storm system is not yet fully within the period for our snow amount forecast, so we will have more details on that later today.

6am ob- 8F

1/3/22- 9.5"

^Might be time for the SE to get in on the fun.

Looking ahead, this period as advertised looks really interesting. EPS very similar.

9 here currently at 5am.

This setup is a bit more tenuous imo, so we will see. More of a mixed precip threat for eastern areas, but for now it looks mostly confined to right along the immediate coast.

For the people who live for the snowfall maps-

Still have the place in southern DE? 10" or so there.

PNS- Snowfall reports from Mount Holly. Surprised Easton was that low. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?new&prod=XXXPNSPHI&wfo=phi

I'll be in the Harpers Ferry area.

9.5" total Current temp is 27.5 Tomorrow morning I head west to the nearby mountains where I am guessing there is little to no snow lol.

Temp is 29 here.

Obligatory deck pic from about an hour ago. Around 8".

Last hour or so has been meh. Just a steady light snow. Was expecting some banding late morning/early afternoon but has not materialized. Curious to know how much snow has fallen south and east of here. Radar has looked more impressive.

About to take another trip out to knock snow off trees and shrubs I care about lol.

7.5" so far.

Snowing hard here but smaller flakes than earlier. Pretty low visibility. Temp down to 30.

745 am ob 31 moderate snow 2"

I am thinking the heavier stuff will be a tad SE of here. We shall see.

Moderate to heavy snow now with nice dendrites. Stuff that can add up.

Wind picking up here now and some sleet mixing in. Temp down to 31.5.

lol I just looked at the 6z 3k NAM. Pretty crazy amounts that drop off to almost nothing over a relatively short distance. Insanely sharp cutoff.