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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Must have done pretty well with the anafrontal deal yesterday. Barely a coating here but the radar looked better down that way. Hopefully you see an inch or 2 at least. Snow at the beach is pretty cool.
  2. it used to be 'blocking', but we so rarely see it anymore it can't be a buzz word.
  3. The tendency lately in this progressive pattern with Arctic cold air pressing southeast is for weakening shortwaves moving eastward, and low pressure developing offshore along the thermal boundary, then scooting out. The op runs today are depicting the degree and timing of the amplification to be more favorable for a track up along the coast. Time will tell if this will be any different than recent outcomes.
  4. I hate the stuff. Especially not good on concrete. The effects can be damaging depending on the age, quality.
  5. The issue is addiction to the "pretty" surface/p-type maps. Completely useless at range and from run to run. Even a vet like Ji can't resist though. He still melts down when an op run doesn't show the blues over his yard.
  6. You must have salted the eff out of your driveway and walkway. Enjoy.
  7. That's where it's at, until we have a discrete threat in range and mostly inside 3 days. Can't stress enough how little I look at surface maps outside of day 5. Probably only when looking at the ens mean and advertised member low positions.
  8. A lot of these people should never look at an op run at range, esp consecutive cycles. I mean, 12z and 18z are so close and exactly what we(collectively) want to see at this juncture.
  9. Good point. The 12z run had an impressive anticyclonic(over the top) wave break. Still highly amplified, but not so much this run. Something somewhat in between would probably work, dependent on timing of NS energy associated with the TPV. Lots of moving parts.
  10. It's a singular op run, a full week out y'all. This gives more support to the ultimate(and desirable) outcome.
  11. Timing is always a major factor esp when the flow is progressive. In a sense, a blocky pattern is much easier, esp in a Nino when its all about the stj. Just get the block and wait for the right wave.
  12. Shortwave is sharper/deeper. The difference is in the NS. Timing.
  13. Yep the general idea is the same, so the specific outcome isn't that relevant at this range.
  14. HH GFS has more blue over my yard instead of just green for Tuesday-Wed. I think that's good.
  15. Drink more high gravity beer to disintegrate it. Seems like a good idea even if there are no facts to support it.
  16. I don't think they care much about a random op run 9 days out, just as no one here does.
  17. The pessimism is quite striking to our NE. All about perspective and location I guess. What totally sucks there would be more than acceptable here.
  18. 22.5 after a high of 25. Got a fire going and sipping on a 120. Too bad the snow won't make it up here.
  19. Even the weeniest of weenies knows better lol.
  20. Seeing something on most guidance but with nothing on the ground currently, hard to get excited over a chance for a snow shower. I guess if I lived in the higher terrain well NW I might care more.
  21. WB is always problematic for one reason or another. Mostly slow/laggy for me. I hate it overall but I am used to the clunky interface and only have to put up with it for 3 months.
  22. Yeah I pop in here thinking the lower coastal plain folks would be excited about some snow, and all I see is discussion about bad geography. ofc we probably don't have many here who give a crap about the Lower eastern shore/southeastern VA.
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