CAPE

Sauté with salt, pepper, red pepper flakes, olive oil, garlic powder and finish off on high heat with pure Vermont Maple Syrup. Anyone who says they cant stand brussels sprouts have not had them prepared correctly. So good.

Agree for the most part, although I do love high end Margarita occasionally.

Cooked up some veg tonight. Brussel Sprouts and Broccoli from the Amish market. Will have it for the next couple days. Simple and delish.

Ha drinking one too. Its big and boozy. It's no DFH 120, but pretty good.

The GFS was really the lone outlier, and it made a big jump towards consensus today. I would think going forward there will be only minor adjustments, but given the volatility with the set up, one never knows.

This is technically CAPE Storm II. Probably not many remember because they were wrapped up tracking the MLK slop storm, but I was looking ahead and made several posts about this period being favorable for a coastal scraper with the potential for a big storm(bomb cyclone 2!!). Not sure how its going to end up for my yard exactly and I am so tempted to head to Rehoboth, but I need to get back pretty quick so I probably won't go .

It may not be King after its performance with the immediately upcoming storm.

Damn lol. Haven't paid attention to the other thread today. What have I missed?

I would think so.

The GFS has incrementally been getting onboard with the rest of the guidance over the last few runs, but 18z was a pretty big adjustment in that direction.

Mount Holly AFD. I wouldn't be surprised to see a Blizzard warning hoisted later tomorrow for coastal DE. Major winter storm to impact the region Friday night through Saturday... Bottom line up front: While there continue be some differences in our forecast guidance, confidence is high enough for our coastal zones of NJ and southern DE to be upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. The remaining zones farther north through the urban corridor remain in a Watch for now as there is still some uncertainty regarding weather amounts here will reach or exceed warning thresholds as we`re still thinking it`ll be right around the 4-7 inch storm total range. And with that it should be said there has been no major change to forecast thinking as most of the latest model guidance (excluding outlier GFS which appears to be too far east) supports storm total snowfall forecast made last night or even suggests amounts will be just a bit higher in some spots, especially near the coast. We also have growing concerns strong winds will be an issue with gusts of 40 to 50 mph near the coast and 30 to 40 mph inland by Saturday. This will lead to reduced visibilities with blowing / drifting snow. Also some (minor) coastal flooding concerns further discussed in the section below. Getting into the details, rapidly deepening low pressure will move from a position off the SE CONUS coast Friday evening to a point east of Cape Cod by Saturday evening. As this occurs snow will become steadier and heavier and heavier from south to north through Friday evening, reaching the I-95 corridor near or shortly after midnight. It`s when we get into the overnight period we will start to see some periods of heavier snow develop at least over southern DE and coastal NJ...potentially reaching as far north as the I-95 corridor by late at night. Northerly winds will also ramp up through the overnight as well,..reaching 20-30 gusting 35 to 45 mph by Saturday morning near the coast. Temperatures will be cold and we are confident this will be an all snow event, even near the coast. Lows Friday night will range from the teens over much of eastern PA into northern NJ (single digits in Poconos) to low to mid farther S/E. Wind chills will make it feel colder though! For Saturday, intense low will be east of the mid Atlantic coast to start the day as it continues to rapidly deepen. Snow will be ongoing for much of the area with northerly winds continuing to ramp up as well. Snow, potentially heavy at times, near and S/E of the urban corridor will continue through Saturday morning before gradually starting to wind down west to east in the afternoon. It should be noted though that strong winds will continue right through the day as they shift from northerly in the morning to NW heading into the afternoon. Expect winds gusting 30 to potentially as high as 40 mph inland with gusts of 40 to 50 mph near the coast. This will create significantly reduced visibilities, especially near the coast where visibilities could be near zero at times. Temperatures won`t go up much, generally holding in the 20s so combined with the winds this will create bitter wind chills in the single digits to below zero.

A common trend across all guidance the last day has been a significant reduction in precip to the SW over much of central VA and NC. That places eastern VA MD/DE on the SW edge now, and even though most guidance still indicates significant snow, there is bust potential with these set-ups, given the already offshore track, if the deepening is delayed. I think the immediate coast is good for a period of heavy snow (and impressive wind) but just west of there towards I-95 is a bit precarious.

I never drink soda, unless it's diet coke in a mixed drink. Or diet tonic water.

What time will the snow begin there you think?

Yes. makes great soup.

Agree, but not overcooked. I steam it with salt and pepper, garlic, then drizzle it with olive oil and a squeeze of lemon. Fantastic.

Avocado would be my number 2 fruit, maybe even tied with banana. I can eat avocado with anything.

I do like blueberries on my Greek Yogurt, not gonna lie. Bananas are number one for me, but not on the list.

Peach, Cantaloupe, Apple, Cherry, Orange, Blueberry, Pineapple, Pear, Plum

Its going to be in lock step with the op now. Op went east a tad so it was expected.

Everyone should read the disco I posted earlier. Folks along and even NW of I-95 should be pretty interested in the next few model cycles, in addition to those of us further east. A few inches in those locations is still a possibility, maybe more if a 0z CMC like solution ends up more correct.

I am just NW of the 0.5" line on the 6z run.

Thanks. I am keeping my expectations on the lower end, something like 3-5". Hard to just completely discount one of the top 2 globals, and the Euro has been suggesting the best lift may not make it this far NW the last couple runs. With the track of the low so far offshore, and cold/dry Arctic air feeding in, some dry air is going to work in on the NW side and I think that will keep the snow here more in the light to moderate category with the heavy stuff further SE.

6z Euro is largely the same, but over the last few runs it has incrementally shifted eastward, focusing the heavier snow in the immediate coastal areas. psu fringe alert for my yard lol.