CAPE

Early March of 2015 after a significant snowstorm- 6" here I think- I had a morning low right around zero, might have been -1.

We were the 2 top posters in that thread I think with not much to show for it lol. These 'events' tied to small scale features pay off for relatively few.

low of 14. pretty cold considering no snow otg here.

0z GEFS brings some pretty respectable cold air south and eastward.

March 1-3 is probably our next tracking window.

28 currently after a high of 30.

I posted a similar h5 map from around the the same timeframe off the EPS yesterday and I got at least a couple I think some people have a hard time interpreting a smoothed mean (understandably), and also context matters.

He rolls with the D10-15 snow probability maps.

Yeah that's what I was trying to point out with the EPS map I posted yesterday. If the Sh!t pattern is relatively brief, should still have some workable cold not far to our north, so once the east coast ridge flattens we have a chance for the cold to press south some and get a wave to track along the boundary.

The advertised h5 pattern on the means does get back to something manageable by the end of the month or more likely into the first few days of March as heights build into AK and western Canada. Probably nothing worth tracking over the next 10 days.

Decent flizzard here at work in Easton. Solid dusting.

Snowing heavily route 301 at 304 per traffic cam.

Radar really blossoming just NW of my house. Damn I might miss a good flizzard.

low of 19 Looks like some decent snow showers passing over my yard per radar, but I'm not there. Hopefully the east part of that main squall line will hold together and hit Easton.

He has to predict every play- that's the issue. We know you know football Tony. Yes, you are smart. Now shut up and do your commentary AFTER the play.

The Halftime show was pretty good, as most are. Some better than others. For me, the Prince Purple Rain performance is the best ever.

Not sure who is worse between him and Romo. Collinsworth is just dopey. Romo annoys me more I think.

Yeah I am happy for him. A really good QB, and tough- he has played hurt a lot and for crappy teams for most of his career.

Great game. I know its no consolation, but the Bengals are built to win for the future- but they must improve on the OL. Unusual for a team to win it all with a subpar OL, and that was the matchup that was a complete mismatch here.

Yeah they missed it, but that happens a lot- but not so much when the defense commits a foul(or something ticky tacky).

Impressive, but transient cold behind one warm storm, and quickly exits ahead of another.

"Not bad" means it isn't close the blinds time lol.

It's not bad, and given it looks like we will be baking on the EC prior that, this period might be the first chance for something to track underneath with some decent cold around.

This should be a close game, unless one team wants to give the ball away repetitively. I would like to see the Bengals win mostly for their fans who lost 2 heartbreakers in the 80s and haven't really gotten deep into postseason since. Otoh, I like Stafford and wouldn't mind seeing him win after spending most of his career with an awful Lions organization. One matchup that isn't good for the Bengals is their OL against the Rams DL in passing situations. The Bengals can run the ball though, so that will be important to keep some of the pressure off Burrow.

This isn't a bad h5 look on the EPS for the end of the month.