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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. This might be a good one to check out around Happy Hour.
  2. Or chase. I am always prepared to do it to get my fix any given winter. Been lucky here so far and I haven't had to.
  3. 36 and light rain. Looks like maybe a slight chance of precip still being around when the cold comes in here, if the GFS is correct. Nothing like what it was advertising a couple days ago.
  4. Maybe we get better trends with one of the waves tracking across the south next week, otherwise it may end up a pretty boring period. The very end of next week into the following weekend looks colder and more active. Latest GFS op runs like V-day for an Anafrontal type deal.
  5. This is the general look for early to mid next week, with a series of weakish lows tracking to our south and offshore. The air mass at that point is meh. Tuesday into Wed has perked up a bit on the means, so worth watching, but a light event with marginal temps probably wont do much.
  6. High of 44 here today and snow cover surprisingly hanging in but thinning out. The cold leading in and cold/frozen ground has helped. I have seen other instances with 5-6" of snow and it goes much quicker with a couple days well above freezing.
  7. I think we should have one continuous med/long range thread and just let it grow until it becomes totally unmanageable.
  8. Freezing fog overnight. Trees look really cool. Low of 17.
  9. Don't give up on early next week. Still plenty of time for changes in that mess of vorticity in the NS. Even if it doesn't work out, the advertised pattern continues to look cold and active.
  10. It is only palatable in transition. I'll take a bit of zr then sleet if it's going end up as mostly snow, like the 2014 St Patty's day storm. That was fun. eff that shit from 94-95 or whenever it was. Just a disaster.
  11. The 18z mean is a bit further north than 12z for Sun-Mon. Control run is always LOL and pretty well useless.
  12. For the whole month of Jan, right? Been hella good here. BTW a good part of the city is on the western edge of the coastal plain. The rest is close enough.
  13. 18z GFS trended toward the suppressed/offshore idea on the CMC and Euro. Still a ways to go with that one though. I have always liked the potential for early next week better than late this week, esp for the coastal plain. Still time.
  14. Could even see a bit of freezing/frozen at the very end here. Mount Holly is concerned about the freeze over potential.
  15. I just think the model love hyperbole is silly, regardless of which one gets put up on a pedestal.
  16. Based on it's performance for the last storm, I am not sure how/why it has this new status. I mean, the ICON may have even figured it out sooner.
  17. The usual with these deals. Almost a certainty here, but could be pretty decent up near the PA line. Remember the GFS is king though- it won't back down.
  18. Snow cover held up well today despite a high of 38. Currently 34.
  19. There is a ton of cold air in place across the eastern half of the US, and that low is rapidly weakening as it moves into the GL region, and its pretty far north. As depicted that would not be an issue. Still plenty of time and different possible outcomes in store though.
  20. Seems to be keeping the LL flow from the NE between the departing high and the lingering ocean low, and not 'seeing' the WAA. The NAM does get temps well into the 50s for much of the region on Friday though before the colder air presses in.
  21. Anyone here taking a high quality full spectrum CBD oil? Curious which one and if there are really any notable benefits. Stuff seems pretty pricey. Just looking for some chill without breaking out the bong and getting high lol.
  22. I will agree with the bolded. As for the rest, the GFS is still a cold outlier, but the Euro has made some small steps in pressing the cold faster. No mention of freezing/frozen for here, so at least for the southern third of the FA Mount Holly isn't (yet) buying the aggressive push of cold depicted on the GFS.
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