CAPE

Might be a bit of clearing ahead of the trough lifting NE this afternoon, but probably still mostly cloudy, especially for eastern areas. Finally we get some nice Fall weather back tomorrow and through most of the weekend courtesy of High pressure building over eastern Canada behind the front. Low 60s for highs/40s for lows and plenty of sun. Yes, bring that.

More work needed.. just a little work, and with some luck, Dec might resemble that silly analog composite posted right there.

The means don't have the tendency to do a 'complete flip' like the higher res op runs can within a couple runs. Relying on the lower resolution ensembles at range over a series of cycles reduces uncertainty about the general outcome for a given future window, and that's basically the point.

Not sure why anyone pays any attention to any op run 10 days out. By nature they are prone to completely different outcomes from run to run. I rarely if ever give consideration to a LR op run, or use them in a post, unless its in context to the ensemble solutions.

Models all struggled with this one. The NAMs juiced up at 12z yesterday. More recent runs of the Euro had decent rain over this way, as did the CMC but it also extended it up towards your area. It appears to have done the best among the globals. Ended up with 0.68" here. Forecast was a tenth or less Sunday and ditto Sunday night. Mount Holly's thinking early yesterday based on guidance was the half inch+ amounts would be confined to the immediate coast. Give me a similar 'surprise' outcome with cold in place and a low tracking north off the coast in January.

Agree. Coached up but the way they have been winning suggests there is probably a 3 game losing streak in their near future.

Some decent showers here. 0.21".

LOL GB. Heinicke!

Ravens sure still need work. Offense and Defense are perfectly synchronous in the second half with a lead lol. Got a little lucky today, or the outcome may have been familiar.

Don't let Caldwell leave town after the 2012 SB anniversary pregame celebration.

Great to see Gus back and running well. Good timing with Dobbins not quite right and back out for 4weeks+ with more surgery to remove scar tissue.

Cloudy and mild with flow coming off the Ocean. Temp up to 52. Probably just a cloudy day but mostly dry. Remains to be seen if any legit showers make it here later. Models still don't agree, and the setup is not conducive to significant rain outside of areas right near the coast.

Well you know he wants it to, but his 'opinions' will depend on what the hand picked twitter dweebs are saying at that point.

36 this morning. Cooler than forecast. Should be a 30 degree rise in temperature, and another gorgeous day. With a shift in the pattern, won't be seeing 30s and frost for awhile.

12z GEFS keeps significant precip right along/off the coast. Could use some rain over here.

35 with some frost. Colder yesterday.

33 when I left for work around 6am with some frost. Temp dipped to 32 as I was driving out of the woods and into the open areas. 37 here in Easton. Mini UHI and bay warmth.

That's the problem. He is 35, not 30. In between is a cliff for a WR, outside of a few exceptions like Rice.

The Ravens inability to acquire/draft/develop a legit WR is actually some sort of 'master plan'. They think having a bunch of TEs can work, but that is really driven by economics- TEs don't get paid like WRs. Dumb.

lol

The Jackson to Jackson connection!

DeSean Jackson is a Raven. Cheap, low risk addition, but not the answer to make the passing game legit. Probably cut him inside of 3 weeks. The Ravens have 6 TEs though! Ofc the ultimate solution to an actual NFL level passing attack is a new OC, and there is zero chance that happens.

Picked up 0.12" of rain in a brief downpour last evening. Just over a quarter inch total over the last 2 weeks since the multi-day wet period ended. Getting dry here again.

Terrible. Need to make a legit move or don't bother. DJ Moore.