CAPE
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A few rumbles of thunder and a decent downpour. 0.32". Good enough to water the plants.
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June so far.
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Same here. Decent gust front but the line split. Didn't even get much rain from it.
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Up to 1.35" here now. Beneficial rain this morning. Looks like it's winding down.
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Repeating pattern continues. Some brief upper ridging and warming this weekend, then looks like back to a few days of 80 w/upper 50s at night.
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Steady, soaking rain here now as that band has expanded east. Up to 0.75".
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0.62" here, but all that fell late afternoon/evening yesterday. That N-S band has been just to my west overnight. Places along the Bay have received 2"+ amounts. Guidance shows it shifting east later this morning but also weakening.
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I was at terrapin on Kent Island when the initial part of that N-S training band hit. Got soaked. Drove out of it heading home, and now looking at radar and see that area continues to get it pretty good. Meanwhile 0.38" here at home. Honestly wasn't expecting anything here before tonight.
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Heaviest rain looks to occur along the N-S lying stationary front, which seems to favor central PA into C MD and N VA based on latest guidance. Still uncertain exactly where that front will be and how it interacts with the upper low off the coast. WPC has central MD including DC in a slight risk for excessive rain D2.
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55 here currently.
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Best chance of hitting/exceeding 90 this week looks to be tomorrow, and more likely for places west of DC.
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49 here this morning.
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A spilt flow pattern setting up this week.
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Repeating pattern continues for now. The next NS closed low flattens the upper ridge before it propagates east, with the tendency for low pressure off the NE coast to keep our region coolish/ inhibit the eastward advance of big heat.
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Yeah plenty of good resources on YouTube on interpreting Skew-T plots, hodographs, etc.
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Euro has the same idea but pinches off the low further east and then retrogrades towards the SE coast. Needless to say our area would be quite a bit warmer in that scenario.
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0z GFS offers up an interesting look for the midweek period. As the C. US ridge nudges east, it begins to flatten and bridge with a building N Atlantic ridge, sending a closed upper low southward. Would be quite the contrast with much cooler temps and possibly wet across the eastern half of the region.
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Low of 53
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72/50 Feels like a quintessential early November day in the MA.
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66 here. A couple weak fronts will pass through today bringing the really nice air, and also kick the winds up. Temps probably max out in the lower 70s today for most.
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94/71 Tomorrow shall be stellar.
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Should be nice by this evening. Even this afternoon with the heat, it will be quite windy and dewpoints will be dropping.
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Southern sliders are a miss here.
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Not even a 90 degree day in my forecast after today. Upper ridge axis to our west nudges east, gets knocked down by another trough. Repeat. Seasonal trend.
