CAPE
-
Posts
33,860 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CAPE
-
There is still that little matter of making sure PSU's yard gets a little snow in the next couple weeks otherwise DC winter is screwed.
-
Next Thursday the 6z GFS has some precip from an inverted trough associated with an offshore low that develops via the clipper shortwave energy. Verbatim its rain though.
-
low of 21
-
A pattern like that can produce snow though. I know you are hunting KUs, but to me any snow is good. Give me a few moderate events like 2 years ago and I am good. For the record I think the h5 looks we are seeing can deliver once we get into our more favorable climo period. What we don't want to see is a repeat of 1997-98 esp in the current climate regime.
-
This is a better look for injecting some cold air into our nearby source region. Euro weeklies are similar for the same period.
-
That trough is a feature of a Nino, but its position/strength can vary. Ideally it would be a bit further west, and that might be what we need going forward.
-
Remains to be seen. Looks chilly on the ens mean, but not especially cold. For it to work it would take a sharp shortwave with some dig, inducing a strong low just off the NC coast. A lot would have to go right, but isn't that always the case in these parts?
-
In years past I would have said faint or modest "signal", but apparently that word triggers some folks now.
-
There are faint to modest indications for something on the ensembles for around the 7th. Given the advertised chaotic nature of the flow around that ridge, determining the actual location of the shortwave(s) that would be involved, the interplay, and timing is impossible at this range. Many more model cycles required before we can know if this has legs.
-
Ridge position is going to be what it is based on the location if that GoA trough, which deepens with TPV energy dumping into it. Plenty of shortwave energy in the flow overtop the ridge then dropping into the base of the downstream trough, and that should sharpen it. It's pretty close to something good as is on the HH GFS.
-
Low of 27, but temp is up to 31 now.
-
What he is implying is a massive oversimplification of what is occurring(or advertised to occur) during that period. EAJ extensions generally favor a +PNA
-
The storm for the 5-6th looks mild on the mean but it appears some colder air works in behind it, and there are hints of another wave or 2 in the days that follow. That period should feature some decent snow in the western highlands, and if we are all lucky enough, maybe a little something for PSU land.
-
First time I have seen the finished product. Impressive looking set up! Does the PID control significantly reduce temperature over/undershoot compared to manual or standard On-Off(thermostat) control?
-
I have a feeling there will be some 'bad trends' posts coming in the LR thread.
-
Given how tough their schedule is the rest of the way, this game was almost a must have. Now the bye and then the Rams at home. They should be 10-3 and pretty much guaranteed a playoff spot.
-
Nice to see the offense seal it in a close game. Defense played very well.
-
The offense disappearing in the second half has been a major contributor to their 3 blown leads and losses this season. That was a bad series after a big forced turnover by Clowney.
-
Still dumb.
-
Harbaugh doesn't force a review of what appeared to be a first down by Lamar, then goes for it instead of taking the 3. Gus Stuffed. SoS from him.
-
I really wish this stuff could be confined to the digital snow thread.
-
0.33" 43
-
Ninas during periods where the Aleutian high shifted into the EPO region, bringing cross polar flow. Progressive pattern with baroclinic boundary offshore resulted in later developing coastal scrapers.
-
The one nitpick on the GEFS and EPS in the LR is the position of the NE PAC low. A GoA trough long term will limit cold air availability, esp if it is strong. Want that to retrograde more towards the Aleutians. GEPS has a much more favorable look there.
-
who cares.
