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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. The 0z FV3 QPF distribution looks quite similar to the 18z Euro/EPS. Noticed that just now for some reason(probably because TT is so effing slow). The 0z Euro run shall be "telling". lol.
  2. I will happily take an inch. Or a half inch. Weather is gonna do what its gonna do regardless of what any particular model says, or what I would like to see. The hammer gets worse the further east you go in this set up. My expectations have remained on the modest side.
  3. CMC is drier too. But still acceptable. We take, er, hug!
  4. Its a disaster!! Been progressively worse for 6 straight runs. Can't be right.
  5. If the Euro backs down at 0z, I might begin to 'worry' a bit.
  6. Its not as good as 18z. Not debatable. That said, I am not worried. 18z always seems unrealistically jacked for some reason.
  7. Sipping on a beer, a roaring fire, watching NFL Network, and anticipating a nice snow event. Life is good.
  8. I wont extrapolate, but I just have a feeling..
  9. Looks like Easton is right on the 6" line. My yard is closer to 4.
  10. Not sure where to put this but since the action has shifted to this thread- Fwiw the 18z EPS has the 'local' jackpot zone from lower S MD across the bay to interior Sussex DE. 8-10".
  11. I decided on the WWS. At 18% it might do me for tonight. Saving most of my drinking for snow and football.
  12. Interesting little model 'disco' thread on HM's twitter feed.
  13. Wonder what happened to that "NE MD PUMMELED" dude?
  14. I have a nice DIPA in a crowler from a local brewery, but I wanna save that for football. I do have a couple 90 min DFHs tho.
  15. I'm trying to decide what to get into tonight. Got some DFH Vodka, so maybe a V&T, a range of IPAs, and one DFH WWS. Decisions.
  16. Some of us suppress our inner Debs better than others.
  17. If you were referring specifically to the op run, I would say although that sort of temp gradient can occur in strong coastal storms, it likely would not be as extreme as depicted. Its not likely going to be 10 in the burbs of DC and 35 in Dover. Op run at D10 though.
  18. Yeah not sure how one can say this looks like our best shot at the big one. On paper it actually doesn't. That doesn't matter though because we have gone from complete shutout to a transitioning pattern that seems to want to snow now. And it's still in its infancy.
  19. If the ensembles don't match the op pretty closely at this short lead, something is wrong.
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