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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    PDIII
  2. CAPE
    Might not be exactly what we were expecting, but after maybe a one week milder period, this type of pattern can get us back to normal pretty quick. As is, it looks somewhat like 2015, but there are hints of Scandi ridging retrograding. Latest Euro weeklies depict a longwave pattern progression from that^ to this for mid Feb. Can kick? Maybe. Subjective. I don't see any indication of a shit the blinds pattern going forward. My wag is we see a -NAO episode Feb into March.
  3. CAPE
    NBM has a signal for an inch or so. This has ticked up some over the last few runs. Maybe we can pull off a 1-3 deal.
  4. CAPE
    This storm is what we thought it was. Ens guidance overall has been very consistent depicting late/ mostly offshore low development. Wildcard is the Norlun aspect, which we do so well at our latitude.
  5. CAPE
    3" when I went to bed with snow tapering off. Currently 28 with light freezing rain.
  6. CAPE
    2.3" Actually had some moderate snow with decent flakes the last hour. Dry slot not too far to the south per radar but hanging in there.
  7. CAPE
    Pretty sure there is at least one flake in Georgetown.
  8. CAPE
    About the same here. Hoping to top 2" before this lifts northward and transitions to a light mix.
  9. CAPE
    I dunno man. Radar looks pretty decent to the SW. Better than depicted on most guidance. Probably another couple hours of steady light snow.
  10. CAPE
    Deck pic
  11. CAPE
    25 and close to an inch after 4 hours. Defo not any stellar dendrites with this lol.
  12. CAPE
    The trends across guidance today have not been good for here overnight. Less and less precip. Hope I can break an inch lol.
  13. CAPE
    26 with steady light snow. Snowing hard but small flakes. 0.3" so far. Pretty out. Its been a couple years.
  14. CAPE
    Very light snow when I left home. Steady light snow with a light coating in Easton. 26
  15. CAPE
    Forecast here is less than a half inch today and 1-3 overnight. Qpf is trending lower over this way across guidance. Not too worried about temps. At this point only the Euro has over a quarter inch. 28 here currently.
  16. CAPE
    The chase is over. He already sees the back end. The man needs his digital blue.
  17. CAPE
    Fixed
  18. CAPE
    3-5 here between the Euro and GFS. Way good. Reality will be 2-3. Still way good.
  19. CAPE
    Getting that TD before halftime was big though. Long way to go.
  20. CAPE
    love to see it
  21. CAPE
    Something like this is probably what we need. I don't see how it gets better than this. Need the energy embedded in the flow overtop the ridge to phase with TPV vorticity and sharpen and really dig. The PNA ridge axis is also a pretty important factor here. The southern stream is just meh. Has looked that way forever with this threat. No matter what it seems the tendency is for the low to form a bit late and strengthen offshore. Need it to pop to our south and not at our latitude to have a legit chance.
  22. CAPE
    I got sidetracked and had to run some errands. Just getting around to it. Probably for the best lol.
  23. CAPE
    Agree. GEM and NAM have been dry slotting here in addition to some temp issues for Tuesday. GEM backed off some at 12z.
  24. CAPE
    I have my Margarita now.
  25. CAPE
    GFS is MINT. No temp/mixing/dry slot issues at all.
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