Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    67,825

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    And to expound on this point.....big reason they came back from down 3-0 is that Wake pitched like 4 innings in relief as they were getting waxed in game 3 of the ALCS by the Yanks. Saved the staff.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. 2004, 2007.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Some halfway decent elevation in spots, too...relatively speaking
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    2011 and 1999 were also fairly east-based, so no sure thing...but helps.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    14OCT2020 19.6-1.2 23.6-1.3 25.3-1.4 27.8-0.9 Region 1.2 hanging tough at -1.2.....3.4 down to -1.4
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Almost like the ENSO deformation zone haha Exactly. Same page....pinning the forcing west is never a bad thing.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you agree with what I said about potentially keeping westward progression at bay?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...split flow. But all things being equal, I will take the cold source....obviously in la nina when its probably all N stream.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know its not sexy, but its necessary. Akin to why Wakefield was underappreciated with the Red Sox....guys who throw 200 serviceable IP/season do not grow on trees. You can't win without them. The cold source is Tim Wakefield....Pedro's starts would not have mattered without guys like him.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This may explain why la nina hasn't been migrating westward as assertively as guidance had suggested.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    All you can realistically ask for as a fan of winter weather in the mid latitudes is a cold source relatively near by. That essentially eliminates the possibility of a wall-to-wall dead-ratter in the absence of some exotically bad luck. I think people underestimate the value in that.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    All that matters right now.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't do winter outlooks back then...I started in the fall of 2014. You mean my feelings leading up to storms? My outlook wil be out in a few weeks, but will have one more interim update this week. The gradient may not be too dissimilar to that season, though I would hesitate to predict 130" in central NH again.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Down to 29.3 this AM. Nice.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Being east based helps, as well. It can keep the forcing closer to the dateline.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I saw that. Not happening in terms of strength of la nina, but same periods may remind us of that winter.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends how strong....MEI of 1.2 is not a huge deal. I would rather a mod east based event, than a weak west-based. Still some stuff to workout.....regardless, I'm not calling for 1995-1996 neg NAO, so don't get me wrong. Just not last year.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the current structure of la nina favors that.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have to be honest. I am more optimistic than I was a month ago. Only negative is the stronger than expected la nina, but given Tip's bedtime, expanding-Hadley cell erotica, that may not be such a bad thing- SO FAR....la nina has been more deliberate with westward expansion than I had thought.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its interesting that this hasn't transitioned as quickly west as I had thought.....good sign for the eastern US IMO.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its tough to predict something as bad as last year.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do when I feel it prudent to do so. This year, I do not. I will say that the streak of not having any month from DM average negative NAO is going to end very soon.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nina still looks pretty east-based.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I must be missing something because those bold numbers do not seem that close to me.
×
×
  • Create New...