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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro looks like it has a decent gradient near the pike...reminds me of 2007-2008.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro is warmer, but def more active pattern than last run...especially up and in.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Awful snowfall season...like 30% or less of seasonal snowfall.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    The Euro trended from weak to moderate la nina, but still looks basin wide to me....not modoki.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1445833062617530372?t=sBnVt1WYxAO637V9U1B7uA&s=19
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the only way Kev wins this season is if it's a ratter. JMO.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I had 94.5"...I can double check tmw
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree. I also think they are likely to err warm in 2m temp, as that dense cold will be in abundance to the north.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think October guidance trending warmer is in response to some changes in the tropics. I'll have plenty of time to dissect that from Africa over the next few weeks, and should issue pretty quickly after I return. I wouldn't get too worked up.....yet.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Those are not good changes in the aggregate...looks more RNA and +EPO
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I couldn't care any less about the weather around here this weekend lol
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Def....I'll have more down time this go around. I had a pretty tight itinerary last go around.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agreed.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    There are some mixed signals in the tropics....
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, there is some stuff I have my eye on, but its never wise to buy seasonal guidance 100%. I think I know why its doing that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Different story in November
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just a little sneak preview....here is my preliminary, rough forecast composite for October....looks decent.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I leave Friday night and will be back Halloweenie week
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    The QBO is actually the one glaring flaw with 2008-2009 as an analog..it was positive. But obviously QBO is only one factor, so its a decent analog overall.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its high on my list...along with 2008-2009.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I actually mean 2007-2008. I agree RE 2008-2009. This year looks modoki at the moment, but lets see what happens moving forward.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I actually don't think that happens this season...at least not here.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jim, any reason why you switched 2008 to a modoki designation when the article had it as hybrid? Just disagree with their designation?
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