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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Euro has struggled, but believe me...people would often laugh off the NAM advancing sleet north very quickly, and the pelts would laugh last.
  2. Been on that since October. Between now and about Feb 14. Between Jan 21 and Feb 14 was my exact timetable.
  3. Yea, its immaterial to me...I still think next season is el nino. I agree about the reversal in 1992, as well. Yup.
  4. All I am saying is that I have been on this forum tracking storms in great detail for over 15 years, and it's always been apparent that the NAM excelled at resolving mid level warming. It doesn't mean it's a better model, but it does have some strengths. It became apparent during the SWFE laden seasons of 2007-2008 and 2008-2009.
  5. With respect to the mid level warm tongue in SW flow aloft, it would....you are wrong. I'm not saying that the euro hasn't had issues since the upgrade, but the NAM has always been the best model to detect that.
  6. I didn't look and won't because I don't care....just going off of what they said.
  7. I disagree with you. The NAM has always excelled with mid level warming...always.
  8. Yea, the upside is 35 and rain. Personally, I'd rather warm sector.
  9. I don't think it's that big of an indictment of the euro...its well known that NAM excels with respect to mid level warm tongues.
  10. I was already convinced that we would go into el nino. Volcanic eruptions can also cool the polar strat...at least initially, so it's not that simple. Pinatubo in 1991 had that effect IMO.
  11. I'll take my chances on that unique butt-banger evolution not taking place again.
  12. At least there aren't any little red Ls over Binghamton
  13. Oh, I agree....comment was more to you than at you.
  14. I'm at the point where I am over climaxing from pattern looks...I need to see a big event consistently inside of day 4.
  15. Can't wait until we get this Monday abortion out of the way so the focus shifts.
  16. Interesting take....I'd have no problem reliving 2001 here, and 4/97 in Wilmington haha. That makes sense, though.
  17. I think over by Rockport and Goucester, I would pick the January 1978 event...before the OV and SNE blizzards. A bit further down by Peabody, Danvers and Lynn....toss up between 12-05-03 and 1-22-05, but I would have to go with the latter bc there was already a deep antecedent snowpack.
  18. Yea, it would be Jan 22, 2005 on the cape for me. My sister had a summer house in Falmouth at the time....and I stayed home in Wilmington. Will never forgive myself.
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