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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will, what?
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    They have a shelf life if people want them to...not sure everyone does.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I couldn't care less what the OP has at that range.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am interested in the one after.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Zero interest in that.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Give me that exact December look for the rest of the winter with something less than a record RNA.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly, yes. Keep giving me blocks in a la nina and I will take my chances.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    This one isn't going to rat....as frustrating of a start as it has been, I stand by the notion that it will be decent.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    This storm isn't going to vanish...it doesn't HAVE TO be a snower for us, but the storm is real.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    CFS actually nailed December.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I said that yesterday, CFS is very cold....AER in house model is, too.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, some mid atlantic snow would be a validation for my outlook, as I didn't predict a terrible season there. So far, this year reminds me of 2018-2019.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL I'm comfortably numb...not even viewing guidance until I am confident in a favorable outcome.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lots of melts this week as we drop like flies....I went a few days ago, now Tip....
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    No comments bc its 230am on NYE lol
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Legit threat IMO.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Actually, east based la Nina events are not front loaded. Modoki are.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    He's always referring to the Hadley Cell
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks about right.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    IDK about 4 HA events l, but I could see one moderate phase change snow event...I mentioned early Jan as a slight KU risk in my original outlook, but not feeling that.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    To me, the timing is more difficult than hitting the overall character of a season. That is tough.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The mild December could also be a sign that la nina is assuming more east based look, too....which would be good. I am def not confident in an poor outcome for Jan. Bottom line is that at some point we should make ground because this season did not have a poor profile heading in.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, PNA gets pretty aggressive....I could see that working out....2010-2011 followed the Pacific progression, with the RNA December, then handoff from arctic to PNA in January. Its a great ENSO analog so its possible
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see that as pretty much a non factor for January. Its going to be about the ratio between the improving PNA and deteriorating arctic.
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