I can afford one of the two to not work out...the high escaping, or the low cutting, but not both. Back near ORH and up to you can still get a decent thump with both. I am too close to the ocean for that.
That's because the N stream dove into the backside of the trough, tilting it negative, otherwise it would have. This is why Will is saying we need more SW energy to phase in as insurance.
Its what happens where there are no imminent storms have haven't been for much of the season....people are left with nothing to do, but micro analyze the shit out of what one another says, which never ends well.