40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Yea, that is where my highest prob cone is..
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I wouldn't buy into that. .
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First Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/08/hurricane-watch-issued-for-south-coast.html
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People see intense convection and prematurely ejaculate before becoming privy to the importance of internal structure and the processes (both internal and external) that dictate it.
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I have been saying that for the past couple of days....you probably aren't getting pristine conditions near the latitude of Hatteras, which is when it will encounter its best envt.
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Modoki la nina is not preferred for east coast weather fans....its the opposite of el nino, whereas modoki el nino is favorable. However, modoki la nina doesn't seem quite as hostile as east-based el nino because the forcing is usually weaker. The moral of the story is that you always want the coolest anomalies in the eastern based regions because it tends to focus convection further west, all things being equal.
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LOL I was just noticing that quote from me you have in your sig...I remember I made that out of frustration when the GFS pulled the rug out and a good snow event ended up a rainer. I was so pissed bc I was calling for a huge snow month, which eventually worked out, thankfully lol
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Post that winter outlook now bc it may be a while...
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There really are 45 of them...impressive and diligent troll-job.
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Are you frightened?
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Usually the opposite...
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I was around 5 for Gloria...there as a lot of tree damage in my area....that was very isolated in Bob.
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I remember it well...completely unremarkable NW of Boston. Gloria was much more noteworthy.
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That is key...if you want a truly devastating landfall, hope for west.
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Yea, I end up with worms in my basement after like 2-3" of rain, so I am good with that....congrats CT, hopefully.
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What happened in Clinton, MA yesterday may just be a warm up....one aspect that will be pretty prevalent IMO is tornado risk, and its being glossed over.
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Yea, they almost always do Messeneger ticks east up to go time...
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I may escape this with relatively minimal impact...and now that I own a home, that is okay. We take...
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Lots to digest...I should have First Call this PM, and Final tomorrow PM.
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I will take LBSW here....I honestly don't want 12" of rain.
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Its going to mitigate the wind aspect, and accentuate the hydro issues...I've been beating the water drum since Wednesday.
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Thank god the epic flooding rains look to be west for now...you guys can have that jack.
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The UK would begin to diminish SNE impact and focus on tri state.
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Yea, tomorrow..
