40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Going to be some big coastals, too.
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No tweets mentioning the weakening of la nina? 17AUG2022 20.1-0.8 24.3-0.8 25.7-1.2 27.7-1.0 24AUG2022 20.3-0.5 24.5-0.4 25.8-0.9 27.8-0.8
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I use Twitter for two things: 1) Later in fall season I do pull a lot of useful info to use in the winter outlook. 2) Reports to Box, usually during winter.
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2018-2019 was a page right out of the 1980s playbook. It had plenty of the ingredients needed to be a good season, but the lack of NAO and absence of fortuitous timing killed us. We just needed a little help with some better timing to couple an EPO cold dump with a storm, but we just couldn't do it. You need some luck without an NAO and we just didn't have it.
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The cold will probably load west of us again most of the time, but the question becomes how much resistance is it met with trying to bleed s and e. Again, good problem to have because we should have the source. We both know it can be worse.
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Yea....just causing a stir amongst the weenies getting carried away with ENSO....the usual shit. We go through this phase every year....the point of the fall where some master of the universe on twitter posts some esoteric chart with wind anomalies, and has everyone expecting the strongest la nina/el nino on record.
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I note that all ENSO zones are up fairly appreciably this week......maybe a respite from the usual cavalry of pro ENSO Eric Webb/Ben Knoll tweets? 17AUG2022 20.1-0.8 24.3-0.8 25.7-1.2 27.7-1.0 24AUG2022 20.3-0.5 24.5-0.4 25.8-0.9 27.8-0.8
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We wait for rubber bands to snap.
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ASH has done better than I have this summer lol. It will flip, man....maybe one more subpar year here, but I promise its about over.
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Yea...so done with this shit. We gotta get you out plowing, Phil.
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Wake me Up....when September Ends....
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
I missed that...was in Uganda, but it seemed impressive. It had actually tore the cover off of my central AC piping outside. Anything that causes any type of wind damage in my neck of the woods gets noticed....up there with the Feb 2010 wind event. -
That was posted in the mid atl forum....not sure how a cold N HEM strat correlates to a warm N HEM strat....I'd take that one with a grain of salt, as it doesn't seem to be peer reviewed.
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Yea, I used a Springer piece to in my research for last year's outlook. He has some good stuff.
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Wake me Up....when September Ends....
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Yes -
You must love that lol
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This was raindance's take: I'm treating Tonga as a N. Hem volcano because it erupted more greenhouse gasses than aerosols, since N Hem / S Hem volcanoes have opposite effects on the Northern Hemisphere hurricane seasons.
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I just suggested that based on the research that raindance posted......I definitely don't know much about that myself.
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I think it will fish, but we should have a a pretty good idea by mid week.
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Nah, that belt from Chris in Greenfield over to Hubby would do well, too.
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Its been the same damn pattern for several years now...winter and summer....or at least it seems like it.
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Reading Bryan Norcross' book on Andrew to kill some time until things pick up...so far, so good.
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Its bad here.
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TBH, I am kind of hoping the rain whiffs me tomorrow because its dry for as far as the eye can see, thereafter...may as well run with the drought bc its all we have for months.
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Man, gimme some of that 56 in Caribou...I can't wait for that hoodie weather.
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Glad you enjoyed, Bob. Happy 60th.
