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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. We are about "due" from an anecdotal sequencing perspective...
  2. Some momentum building for a third consecutive la nina next season. If that were to happen, history is not that bleak for us...its happened three other times: 1956-1957, 1975-1976 and 2000-2001.
  3. I've noticed that folks aren't very mindful of the importance of elevation relative to surrounding environments....at the end of the day, that is the determining factor with respect to radiation; not absolute elevation. If you are at 1000' elevation and surrounded by 1500' topography, you are still going to radiate. Not saying that is the case per se at Beckett, though it maybe more nuanced. This is why elevated valleys are prime spots for retention....best of both worlds.
  4. Well, my grass hasn't grown....so your growing season is fake.
  5. I love that my area radiates well because I want to record freezes as late as I can in order to delay the growing season....get that as short as possible, as it means less chores.
  6. 28.8 at my place last night.....we radiate, we freeze.
  7. How do you get a -NAO winter out of this? Dec 2021: 0.29 Jan 2022: 1.08 Feb: 1.68 March: 0.77 What am I missing? Also, you seem to be shifting the emphasis from a crap winter, to merely a positive NAO....maybe biased by your geography....but here in New England, we don't necessarily need a negative NAO in a la nina to do just fine. 1975-1976 and 2008-2009 are a couple of examples...both +QBO, as well.
  8. There aren't any absolutes with respect to the QBO....its just a factor. Last season was a negative QBO with an eastern biased la nina, which was favorable for blocking, theoretically speaking.
  9. I didn't ask for any seasonal calls from S Weymouth.
  10. Not bad range of outcomes there....modoki el nino, or +PNA la nina..... '00-'01, or '02-'03, take your pick Either is fine with me, with a slight nod to the former.
  11. Music to my ears...kill as much time as we can with that pattern between now and November.
  12. Not a popular opinion, but I like the dreary, cool and cloudy days....75 and full sun is bordering on a bit too much for me.
  13. Hopefully we can get a modoki of modest intensity...muster up some blocking and negative PDO is fine with me.
  14. That 12/19 event was great....easily best event since I moved to Methuen 10/18...followed by 2/1/21. I think we will be here a few more years, so hopefully the worm turns soon.
  15. The increase in solar action is why the second half blocking that I anticipated never materialized IMO.
  16. That December 2019 event is the only reason my children have any toys left over the course of these past several seasons....maybe 2/1/21 helped, too.
  17. Something has to give sooner rather than later....2 consecutive climo or shitty la ninas and 3 consecutive shitty el ninos......modest el nino next year should be good.
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