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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm all set with power outages on NY....keep it west.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    That run is all wrong.....shift the heart of that FU sliver about 12mi south, and that should cover it.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Long shot for SNE.....hard sell.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love how the guy "saved" by his latitude is complaining the most lol
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Will, the main difference off of the top of my head with respect to those years is that they were descending easterly QBO and even flipped westerly late.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, those are the two exceptions.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you look at all of our ratter la nina winters, they were pretty much raging + throughout the polar domain.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I am not saying to buy that single OP run...obviously await ensemble consensus and then consistency, but that is a start. I think that is the right path. It just doesn't sit well with me that this season is a ratter.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its about wound up systems providing the impetus for mass heat flux to higher latitudes in order to facilitate a change to a more favorable pattern by raising heights up there. They also represent wave breaking events that can shift the pattern. The reason you don't hear about that with respect to blizzards near the BM is because we are usually already in a favorable pattern at that time.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you are a weather fan in the east, the HR hooked foul lol
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a perfectly valid point worthy of discussion, but it tends to get political and just derails weather threads.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Totally disregard that.....I misunderstood you. Completely my fault. I had already edited. Once it had actually worked out like that, yea....we got about what would be expected from that compressed flow.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, if you know exactly how its going to pan out, then sure. Haha Obviously no one is capable of that at extended ranges.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Note to self. Discuss away in here.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Piss off. Take it to banter.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is there a reason you only have 4 posts left today? Maybe you are feeling "lucky" and they'll make it 6...
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Please keep that shit out of these threads.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    What I am saying is that we likely would have had more snow even if the NAO block had occurred sooner OR later, and was less prominent as the RNA flex ensued...there would have been less deconstructive interference via the compressed flow. That is the chance element of this. Sure, it would have turned to rain for SNE, but there still would have been more snow than was measured in the shredded turds.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    At the precise same time, yes.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    It is aggravating hearing the phrase "January thaw' this season lol. Shit never froze-
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wherever there is probability, there is luck, but call it as you wish. More often than not, when you get an NAO block like that, we will not be totally skunked at this latitude.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, that is a bad pattern. The couple of would be snowers that missed east were bad luck...as well as the timing of the NAO block relative to the RNA flex.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Until the cutter this weekend....lol
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