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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I think it will trend north, but I still think north of the pike is in great shape for plowable...probably down to I84, but its gets tenuous there.
  2. Yea, I'll sell the 8-12" n of the pike on the 00z EURO....I think that is a bit generous. Possible, but that is the upper bounds of the envelop. Will do First Call tomorrow.
  3. I went up to the top of one of those peaks on my honeymoon in 2018...no joke....like 12K.
  4. If I actually cared about such things, then I would have to dub this a pretty good severe year for SNE...at least by our standards.
  5. I PMed him last week...read it, but did not reply. May just be going through some stuff...
  6. Composite did very well in October and November....too bad that part isn't graded. Now watch me whiff on winter lol November forecast composite was about perfect in the east...only flaw was that it didn't really capture the lower heights that persisted near AK very well. The active PAC jet shifted the core of the warmth north of where I had it the west, buried in the SW.
  7. Chrome warns on everything ....PIA. Poor Bruce never did make it back. Hit 52 here.
  8. Yea, this month should end up like that, but probably not as cold....better shot of a larger event in early January.
  9. I think one thing I should have hit harder in my outlook was the reprieve in the first half of Dec....I was honestly thinking that may take place more earlier than mid, but I inadvertently glossed over it. If I had to verbalize a concern now, it would be that my timeline may be a bit fast....ie favorable period taking place later in Dec and riding more in January than I had advertised. But lets see what happens.
  10. I think what I was right about is that we are still going to get a slew of modest to moderate SWFE this month and maybe some redevelopers....we aren't getting skunked because there is so much cold over Canada, and the PV is elongated onto our side of the globe....while it is stout, it is not a 2011 death star. The polar domain should be less hostile than 12/2007 and maybe a bit more hostile than 2008 or comparable.
  11. Right....I think it will later in the season, but looks to be admittedly a bit less blocky than I had thought for December. Probably worse for the tri state region than us....Dec 1970 was one of the snowier months of December on record here, so it will def probably be somewhat less snowy than that this month with a more hostile arctic.
  12. That was one of my analogs....def some parallels with the big negative PDO and okay arctic.
  13. I would be pretty surprised if that one doesn't work out for a few inches from around the pike in and N in MA.
  14. Looks like the high was 49.8...settled back to 49.3. Mild day, but no torch.
  15. Well, they are a foreign concept in NYC and Jersey because they are rain there.
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