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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 1.14" on the day...4.30" on the month. Definite improvement.
  2. Totally. Those parabolic recurves are useless. This is not a NE storm.
  3. La nina will be dying by the latter portion of winter. I don't really see the progress with the subsurface...nor worried about it. I think the ceiling is -1.2 SON ONI.
  4. Yea, I remember us having this same conversation last month and frankly, I don't see that anything has changed. I expect a similar outcome.
  5. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/09/enso-continues-to-stagnate-as-winter.html
  6. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/09/enso-continues-to-stagnate-as-winter.html
  7. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/09/enso-continues-to-stagnate-as-winter.html
  8. I can't get away with that anymore...mine are too bad. I miss it. I wonder if @Great Snow 1717has a meme for this?
  9. He waits for Allison to look away, and quickly pulls the blanket up over his grape to "savor the flavor"...
  10. For real? Never know with that guy...
  11. I think its an E GOM deal, too, but I wouldn't rule out some interaction with the northern Yucatan or western Cuba....all I'm saying.
  12. Yea, sit tight...that's my next blog post.
  13. My fear all along...or worse yet, central America...what a waste.
  14. The guidance for this one reminds me of Ivan. hurricane ivan - Google Search
  15. Not hijacking at all....its relevant, as it relates to the tropics.
  16. Got another .04" yesterday, so added onto the .92" Monday and .05" on Sunday, I had just over and inch. (1.01"). It was great to see the wife and kids in person again...almost brings me to tears seeing how palpable the change in the children was in just 2.5 months. Wow....time flies, and if you blink, they grow up-
  17. Its the models trying to convey a message, which is the extratropical jolt of energy right before this interacts with the Maritimes. Folks need to be careful not to become too immersed in the quantitative trees or risk losing sight of the qualitative forest, which is the notion that this is not going to be weakening on approach due to said transition. Regardless of whether its 929mb or 940mb at LF, its pretty immaterial because its going to be hell.
  18. I feel like this may retain more tropical characteristics than Sandy did, though, so the winds around the core maybe stronger.
  19. West Pacific el nino is modoki el nino...what exactly are you distinguishing?
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