40/70 Benchmark

Yea, my thought going in was that it would happen this season, but it hasn't...at least not yet. Hey, who knows....maybe this is the regression from 2007-2008 when this area killed the rest of the region.

Right, so that should regress at some point.

I agree.....my thoughts all along have been a back loaded winter, but I thought December and early January would have decent snowfall, which doesn't seem to be working out.

Well, I'm not sure what exactly you are looking for, but this will potentially be my fourth consecutive season of greater than 10" below average seasonal snowfall.

It should at some point, but I'm not seeing much support for that on longer range guidance at this time. I didn't think it would be a very cold month, but I am surprised its ended up as warm as it has....I figured it would be seasonable in the northeast.

I don't see much signs of a shift on the ensembles...all I am saying.

Seasonably cold...it doesn't look like a torch, just uninspiring....like I said, more of the same.

Man, looking at all three ensemble suites, I don't see much hope for anything significant right through the first week to ten days of January. Yikes. Hopefully that changes, but it looks like more of the same crap, to me....energy tumbling down the west coast from AK, attenuating and lifting north as it heads east.

No. I think we will have a another rough 2-3 weeks before a final period of blocking late in the season.

We should get a good period before things go to hell again, but if we don't, or don't capitalize on the good window, then its time to take 'em down for the season.

This is my honest assessment of where things stand.

I've been melting, where in the hell have you been?

It depends why you are doing it......I like to see how accurate I am when I compose it in late October/ early November. While I will adjust ideas in subsequent blog posts, the original outlook gets graded as is from November. At this point, I am going to need a big event or two to catch up prior to the January thaw, or else my seasonal snowfall totals will likely be too high. Still very possible we catch up, but I am obviously frustrated at this point.

At like day 11.....have you noticed a pattern?

Here come a week's worth of isobaric orgasms over minimum central pressure output, which will attempt to drown out the elephant in the room being that an unimpressive amount of snow will fall where most people live. But hey, Hogscrotum Bay in downeast Maine reads an impressive baro! Wonder how high the tides will be at Marriedmycousin Light-

I get it, it's just that I have had four snowfalls, all around an inch and I work this week....rather just hold off til a decent event.

I honestly would rather not, and I really do mean that.

Very frustrating first third of the season. The pattern def was subpar and less favorable than I had anticipated, but it wasn't as bad as the complete and utter absence of significant SNE snow would lead one to believe. December has been warm, I get it, but the RNA flex at the same, precise time that the NAO block set up was just horrible timing. Be that as it may, still had some shots that either just didn't come together in time, or got shredded to crap. The fact that there are no instances of a December that featured such a prominent NAO block during a weak to mod la nina, yet still produced no significant SNE snow is a testament to the fact that there was some bad luck involved.

Just like when last January was a torch, but the positive anomalies where achieve nearly entirely at night....like the vast majority of global warming, ironically enough.

But when the skies cleared out at night, it plummeted to 13 instead of 18

1" Final.

1/2" down here.

Huge flakes right now...accumulating quickly.

Snowing here now with a coating over the ice 32.7 Time to watch out for the change rest of NE Mass

No question that Euro's lame, mild, boring ass solution will be closer to reality.....what a swallow-an-uzi evolution.