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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was always perilous for NYC points southward, but once that RNA got into record territory, SNE was sank, too.....despite blocking. TBH, we probably would have seen more snow without the block. It would have been warmer, but there would have been more storminess owed to less compression.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, we don't necessarily need the PV to be decimated to get blocking, either...as we just saw.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. And I wouldn't have been excited either in NYC.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Call it whatever you want, just lay it in front of me and put the fork in my mouth.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm pretty confident that there is going to be another ugly period later in January. In a perfect world, we get out of this crap pattern and warm up as things reshuffle over the arctic and the RNA relaxes, but we grab some snow in the transition.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    LOL Yea, I would like to start seeing some signs of hope from the stratosphere....needs to happen soon, or else my second half idea may go up in a SBD cloud of smoke.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    We have just sort of stagnated in this compression induced meteorological purgatory of sort....once something, anything starts to change, that should "stir the pot", so to speak.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just my hunch, but I have a hard time getting out of this regime without some kind of storminess....you have to figure with two nodes of that magnitude relenting (NAO and RNA) there is going to be: 1) A ton of mass flux 2) Ample supply of cold built up put west.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I would have never guessed that. I would certainly continue to roll the dice with blocking in a la nina.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, the pattern blows....I mean, NNE is salvageable, but nowhere in the east is doing well.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is the worst...no doubt....completely boring, yet not very comfortable and enticing enough for MJO to keep besieging us with ICON output and bedtime stories about phase 8. Just go 2011 and rip the band aid off...comfy numb.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can bank on that, at least.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any hope is like 1/10 and beyond...forget that.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its milder than the other two, but I think there would be plenty of cold near by in that look with the orientation of the PV. Could be a decent pattern with latitude.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, drizzle here...34.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll look tomorrow....gotta do Dec recap and January preview.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm all set with power outages on NY....keep it west.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That run is all wrong.....shift the heart of that FU sliver about 12mi south, and that should cover it.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Long shot for SNE.....hard sell.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I love how the guy "saved" by his latitude is complaining the most lol
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Will, the main difference off of the top of my head with respect to those years is that they were descending easterly QBO and even flipped westerly late.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, those are the two exceptions.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you look at all of our ratter la nina winters, they were pretty much raging + throughout the polar domain.
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