No, the fact that they did, and then inexorably marched towards the OP for the past two days. If the ens had matched the OP from the get-go, it would have been an easy call to not invest.
There are plenty of rules, but when said rules mean snow this winter in Methuen, MA, then we learn how there are a myriad of exceptions to said rules.
I'm sure the ensemble means will gets its MOJO back when the OP amps up for a blizzard next week.