40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Don't worry, apparently no one except me minds...its just snow. -
I remember waiting for that huge band out west to get here, and it never came...that was back before I understood deformation zones, etc...I was so jealous of W NE and NYC. Nice event, though....I had 16". I was in my 30s before I understood what so many high school kids on this site know now...mind blowing what the internet has done.
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At least we have a worthwhile system to engage in dialogue over for once. Took this season forever to get going.
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The reality is that if I get a foot here, I have 22.5" headed into February....that still blows. No one on here except Bob enjoys large snow fall deficits for several years running. I understand I am an easy target because I am so vocal about it, but many others here feel the same way, dude.
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Not wrong....I understand that you couldn't care less, and I believe you, but I think that you are the minority on this site.
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There are a lot of folks who would feel porked with 12" in a sea of 2' plus....you are full of shit if you think otherwise.
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Each run? I hardly even batted an eye when the GFS was nearly a whiff yesterday. However, last night's Euro run illustrated my one real concern with this...not sure how that is losing my shit. I'll be sure to alert people when they "lose their shit" in future runs.
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I don't think I'm melting at all. I'm expressing concerns that are pertinent to my area, as you guys are with hoping it captures faster. Not sure what the difference is? Maybe we all just love snow? Or maybe wait to find out?
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I think these trends are good insurance for you....makes it less likely you get JUNOed even if it kicks a bit late.
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Well, like Will said...that actually captured as modeled, but stalled later. It was Juno that captured later, which is the best analog....my point is that usually these Miller Bs either stall and/or capture a bit later at the last moment.
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I never disputed that it would trend that way. You are misunderstanding. In fact, I said I expected some LBSW runs, but I think it will tic a bit later with capture right at the last moment.
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LBSW is my largest concern.....even a track over SE MA, I can deal with...that replaces deformation with low level fornto. I don't care to jackpot.....I just can't stomach being another regional minimum for like the 36th consecutive event. If this goes LBSW, I hope it cuts over SNE. Last thing I want is a LBSW that remains frigid and pins the low level fronto down in Duxbury.
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I def hope reality is a bit later with the capture than the EURO....I'm all set playing with Boxing day fire back east. We would hope it played out like 12/92, but I don't want to rely on that.
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When everyone around you has 20", it blows. Drifting was decent, though.
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1/2"
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That EPS mean clown map tells me most members close off later than OP.
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Sneaky epic winter for the Delmarva if that comes to pass.
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I have no issues with that....don't need a JP, but I just don't want to get Boxing Dayed Considering most other guidance closes off in GOM, even a 75/25 comp in favor of euro places capture near upper cape.
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Best case scenario for me is probably a slightly later capture that tucks into the cape, as opposed to LI....less LBSW and closer CF. Anyway, fun week ahead.
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Great run for the area as a whole
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January 2015 was fine....the best of the band was like 12 mi west of me, but no complaints. Boxing Day was a disappointment.
