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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I don't think 1-3" is gone with one day of 35-40 at this time of year, especially if dews are low. Hell, my inch of crust from Saturday survived low 40s yesterday. The sun is so weak....
  2. At this point, I think the course of least regret is to not plan on anything, and if something becomes imminent, then rejoice.
  3. Yea...two different things, though...this is why snow is more preferable in December. But the actual snowfall itself is better in March, unfortunately.
  4. Tip has posted about this before and you're right..snowfall is shifting later.
  5. All else being equal, I would prefer December snow...but it isn't equal.
  6. Aside from SSTs....there is a reason that cutters are more frequent in December...there is a seasonal lag. The mean baroclinic zone has yet to settle southward enough on average.
  7. I agree that December snows are certainly more festive, but March snow events are just better...especially anywhere remotely close to the ocean. But even regionally...I feel there are more high-end March events than there are December events.
  8. Oh, I just looked at the date on the image. I thought you were talking about 94...though 95-96 had it, too
  9. That's the winter I learned of OES. I couldn't figure out why in the hell Shelby Scott kept going to the south shore
  10. Yea, I just took an EPS H5 image from xmas and annotated. Wxbell has better graphics, but F5 has the Narcan snowmaps, nice simulated radar and Long range Ukmet plus ensembles. I would go w F5 bc wxbell maybe redundant for you
  11. Maybe this illustrates things a bit better. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/12/actively-quiet-holiday-period-appears.html
  12. I think that still leads to attenuating waves here, but more juice than current...like what the GL are seeing now.
  13. No way that pattern remains perfectly stable...I agree. What exactly are you saying is moving east? The RNA trough?
  14. One anything changes that will cease....its not stable. Either the NAO block eases, or the RNA eases and one of the ridges will relent....or one the ridges just shifts in longitude a bit.
  15. I feel like that parade of SWs must be getting grinded between the NAO ridge and the ridge down over Texas.....it must be aligned as such that there is just the right amount of distance to shear the pacific parade to shit at this longitude, and they can't begin to amplify again until approaching the Maritimes.
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