Phase 8 gets the PNA involved...7 isn't a death knell, but just means we will continue to deal with the RNA longer. Roll the dice enough with -NAO/RNA and we will hit on something. Phase 8 was always iffy in my mind....
I was thinking a month after the split as a lag....so I think I technically had it splitting in latter January, so late Feb/early March. But my timing could def be off....I'd be happy just to get the idea right.
Euro does miss in the medium range, but it capitulates so deliberately that you're passed out by the time you can realize it was wrong. I think that MO is built into them model's algorithm.
I'm just exhausted by it all and don't want to look at guidance until after xmas....like 11 SWs all with a very small chance of producing much of any snow for SNE for various reasons.