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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do.....I really like his stuff. He made an account here like a month ago.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll bet my area only ends up with one highly anomalously warm day.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hit 17.2 last night after a hi of only 32.4 yesterday....decent cold.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Another .25" for .50" on the season.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that storm just before xmas or xmas eve is a contendah to provide a white xmas for many....NAO or not. I get that the pattern isn't pretty yet, but it doesn't have to be pretty to grab a front end couple of inches that won't wash away.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    @MJO812 That is a big NAO EAST on the GEFS and GEPS...big difference. That will not prevent cutters. EPS is still neutral, which I tend to favor through the new year.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we get there in December, then this is what needs to happen...don't go by the OP.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    No it isn't....EPO can provide some resistance and prompt a SWFE, but the mid levels would still fly west and maybe you get a triple point surface reflection to prevent torch. The EPO can provide an antecedent airmass.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why he is looking at the day 10 OP is beyond me....the impressive NAO is probably suspect to begin with.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Keep in mind that climo guidance will not pick op on any SSW activity, so should that happen as I think it may, it will be good well south of here later in Feb and into March.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is that the author did it by state and included NY because of NYC, but still dumb. I consider NYC northern mid atl, but its iffy...I get it.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the late band that gave me 1/4" late last night...so up to 1/2" on season.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, agree....its not a big snow pattern. Its a serviceable pattern with latitude. That RNA is going nowhere for the foreseeable future....will be until after the new year for that to ease. This is another page out of the 2018-2019 playbook, but those front enders still offer some festive snows.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think we will get much help from the NAO this month...it just gets less hostile and more neutral......maybe slightly negative shift? But no "blocking", per se...
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    The more latitude, the better....at least until New Years.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I thought the GEPS looked the worst yesterday.....GEFS and EPS were similarly a little better with the EPO ridge yesterday.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it works here.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think they will have a window in early Jan, then again in latter Feb and early March.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like my general coating to 2" call about covered it.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    It may not mean much for NYC until after the New Year.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is not a ratter...punt that notion to the moon faster than a norlun and get that shit outta here.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am excited for the long range....I envision a gradient pattern lead in from the 20th into NY, than maybe a week to 10 days potential to go BOOM before we thaw again in January....then we await the real PV disruption.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Finally got a coating with some very poor snowgrowth..whatever paltry lift developed must be below the SGZ. Oh well....at least I verified my coating (C-2") locally.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    What's new...I called that. My area is just a perpetual scew zone past few years. Uncanny.
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