Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    72,411

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not that it matters at day 45, but I didn't think it was brutal...I see what you mean about the EPO ridge collapsing, but a couple of caveats... 1) Signals at that extensive lead time can get muted. 2) The PV is really biased to our side of the globe just N of Hudson's Bay, though fairly stout...I think we'd have chances in that set up. I would take that look...its actually not that mild here.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It is maddening...I had a minimelt last night, but its only early Dec....some of the best seasons didn't do jack until after xmas, though that is a dangerous slope in a la nina.....most of the good ones are not late starters. However, I will say that last season is one of the better ENSO analogs, and it pulled off the late start. I think we will need help from the arctic, though because this one is much better coupled than last season, which acted more like a warm ENSO event.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I have a shot at 2"+ out here...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The UK bombed Portland, ME with 10"+ lol
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doubtful.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    November wasn't mild...I'm not sure what you are talking about.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hit 60
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been a trend this year to have a fairly strong PV that is elongated onto our side of the globe. Not a pretty pattern, but it can get it done...kind if like the Pats' win tonight.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, even a delay in development inherently implies deamplification...regardless of whether it ultimately realizes said potential downstream.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    It dampened at our longitude yea, but it does eventually consolidate...semantics, I guess. I know what you mean.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    The thing is the entire deal will need to shift enough west to get the NS snows in here and I just do not see that at this range. If you notice, the shifts west don't do anything because the system is so diffuse back here that it doesn't bring heavier snow in. You need the entire cyclogen evolution to speed up by like 6-12 hours.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, tell Nova Scotia about the dampening lol
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    It didn't dampen, though...it just consolidates too late.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd actually rather have it through Chicago...best WAA can sometimes go west of us of there is a good antecedent airmass.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the H5 handjobs don't do anything for me at this stage...its put out or get out-
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    The vorticity will have no issue consolidating over Buffalo next week
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Before and after we get 60 degree sw gusts ahead of cutters.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Unreal to think this may skim me to the se now after it looked like a SWFE...of course this gets sheared out while all of the cutters are healthy as a horse.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a theme. I think this is toast for more than 1-3/2-4"
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sun angle is nil...that helps
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Does it to me on safari to a lesser extent....laptop is 7 years old, so...
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get that on chrome alot... click advanced and bypass it
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    If you look at the snow map to the east towards NS, you can see the difference.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, agreed. Just saying....
×
×
  • Create New...