40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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One of the more impressive ensemble run I have seen at this range.
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I'm less worried about that PNW kicker tonight....it looks pretty far upstream now.
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Bit se, but take. Man, am I weather horny
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We are due for some....STJ has been unusually active for la nina. I did expect that, but thought we would have had more Miller Bs by now. That is why I have had hardly any snow...no SWFE, Miller B plus a bit of bad luck equals bare ground in Methuen.
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No, I agree. I was just about to post that I think it's too warm with that set up....high isn't perfect, but nothing like that last deal. I think its both... NARCAN is too stingy in low levels, and globals too warm
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Just warmer....but you are right....can't sweat detes right now. Fun week ahead, bro.
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GFS NARCAN would send me to loony bin, too...like a sprig storm with heavy amounts only under best lift....where else? CT and RI up to ORH. Really not a fan of these thermals....hope that changes.
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That Canadian run verbatim would put me in a rubber room....2' over ORH county, and like 5" of glop here.
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I highly doubt it, but can't rule anything out at this point.
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Yea, have to watch the thermals as we get closer....unbelievable, 10 days of arctic cold and its gone as the huge storm approaches.
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Man, if I had to deal with cold rain in this after 10 days of cold and dry I would absolutely go nuclear.
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No way CMC will be as good...I don't like the n stream energy crushing the ridge out west. GFS is much weaker with that.
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Yea, i have it out to day 6 and was noting it looks similar...PNA ridge a bit more disjointed.
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Not necessarily....I mean, it is near peak cold climo.
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Seems like the airmass is meh....def more 12/92 parallels.
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I didn't say it locked in at 200 hours out, but it was absolutely the first to go west. I remember clearly....believe me. I prayed it was wrong.
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Wrong. Ensembles were. GFS was first to go west.
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GFS has been hot, dude....was the first to lock on to the inland catastrophe.
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I think by 00z Tuesday that energy should begin to be sampled, and by 12z Tuesday, we will know.
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How long until the "There's the demon" clip surfaces
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I have been saying...I won't believe this year rats until we hit memorial day with big deficits. This is not a rat profile...flukes happen, but odds are against it.
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At this point, I am with Will....all in on a HECS to snatch this season from the jaws of futility.
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What I like is that the kicker is so far upstream, that it will have to trend quickly for its terd to reach the punch bowl.
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Aside from the half dozen plus that I rattled off over the past 25 years, yea.
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I have been a ginx this season, and not the doggie doo totin type, so I will refrain from threads until next year.
