40/70 Benchmark

Thing is, if it were a lock, then I would take some solace in that....but odds are it won't be a uniform distribution in the sense that the entire region will get it. That's why I just look past it.

Thanks, tiny snowcrazed Tim. God bless us, each and every one of us.

Why cancel it over snowshowers? GO

Well, he's not wrong, either. I'm bored at work just melting like a snowbank on NYC in the dead of winter.

First of all, even if they did cut west, front enders would mean more snow than this. Secondly, its not just a longitude thing....if the RNA or the NAO ridges were weaker, there would have been less of a gradient. Regardless, record RNA is difficult to overcome.

Hopefully back into drought territory next year when the el nino develops.

Its too bad that the NAO ridge happened to position itself just the perfect distance from that heat ridge to royally pork us with that meat grinder.

Something tells me he already knew the answer to that....man, he must have really wanted to troll to fire one is five bullets on that lol

TBH, get us passed the holidays, and I prefer the torch to this. Something hopefully gives after the New Year...either shift the longwave pattern that is cursing us with this shear axis, or join the NAO with the heat ridge and be done with it.

Jingle Bells, RNA smells, yet another shortwave laid an egg. We had yet another shot at another stray inch, and even that faded away, HEY! Jingle Bells, RNA smells, the fun is always five days AWAY! Oh what fun, it is to track, heights in Oregon sub four-fift-ey...Hey! Record troughs on the west coast, heat ridges in the south, one more shortwave gets sheared to grits, and I'm gonna plant an oozie in my mouth, HEY! Jingle Bells, RNA smells, rain finds us as snow runs AWAY! Oh what fun it to track, Please put me out of my Miser-ray!

At this point, give me a damn inverted trough with a great big bow on it.

Hung right over my head.

What we are left with is analyzing soundings all day like antisocial, virgin internet sleuths in search of that elusive stray snow shower on xmas....which is great for the 12 municipalities that get it, meanwhile, back at the ranch.... the other 95% of us are met with mother nature's hairy, grizzled rear-end under the mistletoe.

I don't think its going to torch anytime soon....later in January, yes.....but that is a good 3 or so weeks off. I'm just tired of the parade of paraplegic SWs that are castrated by the RNA en route to the NE. "Oh, but there are so many of them...one will pop out of that chair and walk again"......tic toc, tic, toc

If we get past NY still chasing our proverbial tails, then I'm going to start to sour on this in a hurry lol

That was the rev's private snow storm while I was P Cloudy.

Not unless the blocking subsides.

Looks slightly cooler than average for the next week or so around here.

Can't stay safe enough

Gun to head, though, one of these works out for most of us before the New Year....

Yea, don't get me wrong...I'm not punting through NYE....but its just apparent that there is a great deal of volatility and the overall pattern, while improving, is not ideal....so I would adjust expectations accordingly until a plowable event is on your door step.

It is not in terms of ONI, which is what I think those people are referring to. I know I am. But I agree that this event is definitely more coupled and is obviously a more prominent driver than last year's la nina.

So far, so good....my neighbor across the street still has cover, and his property sun bathes all day. I am just over the line, though...legit 2 miles down the road to join the highway, and its just patches.....nothing once you hit 495 in I93.

Hopefully we both make out okay...his elevation should help.