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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You have to go sooooo high to get into that -12 to -18 happy zone Yea, my first call map sucked.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Taking a closer look at this...that warm layer in the mid levels moves in around 00z Sunday (7pm Saturday), at which point I have like 1-2" of snow....then the rest of the snow looks to come on the back end early Sunday AM, which is suspect to me. Not to mention this is all assuming 10:1 ratios. I think Kevin maybe right with the 1-3" up here.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    50 shades of belly tucking for photo ops
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its worse for the pike region, but actually a bit better by me....gradient tightening, like @MJO812 trying to fit into his uniform
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seriously, though...hyperbole on my part...not impossible, but pretty unlikely IMHO.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay, if I said 15% chance, would it make you sleep better at night? What I was trying to convey to the semantics Nazis is that I am confident that will not take place.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is exactly my point....its not a perfect block, so yea....theoretically possible, but I feel pretty confident that we are not going to get a system to amplify west of us. I would stick with EPS over Euro OP right now.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    You also have some pretty good heights near Greenland, too, so I think the potential for that is measured.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    More the OP....EPS is seasonably cold. I guess 40ish and showers is possible, but I feel like if there is a major storm system, then N stream will be more involved and it will be colder, hence mainly snow.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    OP Euro does.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, over NE as opposed to STL RV.....
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its because I wasn't sure what he meant....he could have just meant no snow between now and xmas, which is possible for many of us....but if he meant 50 and rainy SW gales....that is a no-go.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we score, it will be one event in that 12/22 to 12/26 period...one will get keyed in on.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not here.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    12/23 is entirely plausible...just needs work and I will want to see big improvements this weekend. If we get to Sunday night and we're still staring at H5 charts and prostate massaging, then its time to sell.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where was it in 12/16/07? NNE?
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean, can't rule out some pellets, but you should get several inches up there.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am just talking about the 12/23 deal....that needs work. I'd be shocked if we hit the new year without a significant snow event for most of the region.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is no chance of a grincher. Maybe we miss significant snows, but its not going to be 50 and raining on xmas.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly right. Still possible, but needs work.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, he's right...the smart money right now is on a nuisance if anything.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    This will always take me back to the start of marine corps infantry school on the way out to the field for the first time...it had just come out, and the whole bus was jamming to it haha Good times.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, Paul has done a great job hitting on some of the limitations with this event....echoes this sentiment.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree...all I am expecting.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Everytime you post, I predict a discharge of worthless, mindless dribble and it always ends up my best forecast of every season.
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