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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    How does his post imply that the CMC settles it? The CMC has been the furthest west all along... not sure I see your point.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Have you ever noticed that the mere mentioned of SNE severe earns you a bukake of weenies?
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Who would have though that heat would wane as we near the Equinox....weather never ceases to amaze me.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The CEM2, which is on a bee line towards the US, probably the weakest of all of the guidance.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    What these folks like the tweeter above fail to tell you is that, while yes....a US LF, while unlikely, remains very possible.....it would more than likely be as a TS or POSSIBLY a very minimal hurricane if it were to track that far west. It would be one of these "rain-maker" deals.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I reserve the right to change my mind through tomorrow, as I have always maintained that this weekend is when I definitively decide whether or not to board this bus. But one thing is certain, the window for a major US impact is exceedingly slim. It needs to thread a narrow path within an intensity-track continuum that will afford it ample opportunity to intensify significantly, late in the game enough to not cause it to veer seaward.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've always felt like a goal post track was the most likely scenario....one of those deals where nothing happens, but Steve and Pickles will whack it to waves. Pickles will probably chase the waves. Waves=cirrus in my mind.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    "Far"? I wouldn't say that....what a reach lol
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe its me, but I just don't see this as being worthy of anyone's time.....I think it is, and has been pretty clear that the odds of a major US impact are pretty low. The main threat was when it looked like it may cause flooding in PR, but now even that is mitigated with the southern track. Its a boring year...I get it. But I guess more and more with age I would rather not allocate my time toward tracking a lost cause-
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    41.2
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had a hernia repair in May...started to feel it last December...it was a very small one on the left side of my groin. It didn't show up in any imagery...surgeon was finally able to feel it. I took two weeks off from lifting weights...not bad.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    45.5
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, like I said to Paul...I have no issue with comparing an INDIVIDUAL season to the appropriate climo period...for instance, 1978 to the 1951-1980 period, etc....or 2018 to 1981-2010. However, for a composite of seasons from a myriad of different decades, I prefer the expansive 1951-2010 set. No, I don't expect normal temps for the south as a baseline la nina composite, however, perhaps a certain individual season will turn out that way....which is why we look at a plethora of other variables.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    UGH wave talk.....you know a storm blows when you start hearing that...its like when the focus settles on upslope or flooding with respect to a winter storm.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is why I use 1951-2010.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. Central based can take on characteristics of both east and west based events.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I feel like through the goal posts if it develops appreciably.. I don't think its much of a threat to the US.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    July and August were brutal, but I guess since the peak of Mt. Washington recorded a freezing temp in June and September, my ass didn't swamp throughout July and August.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    People are desperate for something meteorologically intriguing to take place....duck for cover when OTS is favored lol
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    CMC takes it into New Orleans!
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree...I go back to 1950. I think we all understand that the globe has warmed....I don't think anyone using an analog from the 60's would expect it to be as cold today given an identical global evolution. Using 1951-2010 as the base climo period alleviates that issue, somewhat.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Start the thread.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, no brainer that will rise...it had to because it couldn't really get any lower. I'll do another blog next week.
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