40/70 Benchmark

I don't see much evidence of a strong la nina peak.....may make moderate early on before weakening by winter. Weren't you in favor of el nino not even a month ago?

81-82 and 86-87 were good....82-83 was okay snowwise largely bc of the Megalopolis storm. 87-88 wasn't a total trainwreck up here...

There would be plenty of cold available in Canada with that look....its not a disaster. Its just not a perfect pattern, so there would often be precip type issues.

That looks like a gradient pattern to me, which could be shitty for you guys.

No, I think he was court ordered to stay 300'+ away from there by that point.

Thank god we traded Renfro for JB DFA.

Yep....next week is when John would start "musing" about how warm his tushy was to the touch upon settling into his Volkswagen Beatle.

Right. Will also lost it on Cosgrove when he denied that the pattern had changed in Feb 2007, and he lost it in like February 2009 due to Euro wx being so protective of their data

I have still posted these past few years, though I did check out on the blizzard by about 1030am...I had had it and needed a mental break. People like you were trying to play the role of meteorological therapist and console me by telling me that I'd get some bands in the PM, but I knew.....writing was on the wall. I slept from about noon to 6pm.

MLK 2010...I'll never forget that. One of three times I have ever seen him lose his composure.

BTW, that powderfreak effect with me posting alone would never happen because of how close I live to the region. Any event that clobbered me would instill enough hope to the rest of the region to lure them in...and even once it was clear that it had gone bad, they would already be mesmerized in that same morbidly alluring way of those fixed on the 8 car pile up on I 93.

I count him as part of that corridor...the NW edge of it.

Deal.

Think about it....if this kid down the street in the neighborhood has been holding you by the feet with your head in the toilet, while flushing for the past several years, would you rather you all get invited to the pizza party, or see everyone else enjoy with that SOB crying while staring in the window?

Yes.

Not gonna lie, I'd love nothing more than to steal the snow of those in a corridor from about you down to Brett and Ginx for the next several seasons.

Hope you find a keeper

That's what I told him...dude lives for sea ice.

The fact that la nina was so east-based last season is the only thing that saved us from what would have otherwise been a complete bloodbath.

I'll take the 100 with slightly lower humidity.

You can use analogs from back then...you just need to remain mindful of the fact that the climate has changed.

2016-2017 was actually a decent snowfall season in SNE...not great, but not bad....near normal on average, and even better across the southern half of the region. Yes, I pretty much agree with everything else that you have stated here...I was just speaking to the intensity of la nina. In the early going, this la nina is definitely more of a modoki with the cool anomalies focused west. NAO should be positive. One thing that I would like to add is that the PNA and PDO, while generally positively correlated, are not necessarily always lock-in-step....so you need to be careful about assuming a predominantly RNA pattern. Last season for instance, featured one of the most negative PDO seasons on record, yet the mean DM PNA value was only very slightly negative. The pattern was actually mainly PNA after the record RNA month of December. Its also about where you live...here in New England, we do absolutely great with decidedly negative EPO and variable PNA...its further to the south that needs the decidedly +PNA.

I'm not that worried about the intensity of la nina....sure, its going to peak at moderate early this fall, buts its going to be weak for the vast majority of winter.

That would be a theoretical positive for winter in the east.

Nice to see you in here, Howard.