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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just making the same obs and drawing the same conclusions.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Too many folks are approaching this like its a slam dunk, PV on roids season.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's the point; nobody is sure of anything with respect to the eruption, aside from its influence in the S HEM.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that's what I meant.....I think I recall ECMWF admitting that the last round of upgrades prioritized the mid latitudes at the expanse of the tropics.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS has closed the cap, to a degree, on the EURO IMHO.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking at just how far west some these runs are, sure....it just depends on how close it gets to the west coast of FL. I shouldn't have initially been so dismissive before viewing all of the AM suite.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure Hunga Tonga doesn't trend the polar strat warmer in the N HEM.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    If anything, a system crawling has more time to build the fetch and then you add excessive freshwater flooding from 20"+ RF.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Spare Florida of major wind damage, which isn't the primary threat, anyway.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice core.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it has to intensify some, or else it peaks as weak and I do think it sneaks into moderate territory.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean in terms of structural damage.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wind won't be the story with this one.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    All I said was it didn't match '38.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    39.0 last night.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is why I was saying the further west it goes, the weaker the LF. N gulf coast will primarily bring hydro issues.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    My grass is growing the fastest since May.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still say you want this in faster, and further south if you want an intense LF. I suspect a N GOM collapser if not.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    It looks like Bob down the cape.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. If Fiona had hit us, it would have rivaled '38.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I believe so...not to mention '38 struck at a significantly further south latitude.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the main difference was that this didn't move nearly as fast as '38, which allowed for the drop to relatively modest wind intensity on approach.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    My early impression is that '38 was significantly worse, though this was a strong hit.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Don't do it...
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    35MPH
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