40/70 Benchmark

That is a fair point....but it wasn't like a top 5er for me in terms of snowfall....maybe at the time it was.

I had 25", but it was relatively tame...22" max depth.

From what I can gather, amounts were in the low 20s...maybe the wind was epic, but the snowfall totals were not.

'78 and '05 were nothing epic in my area.....'97 and '13 were. March 5, 2001 is actually probably the highest impact for MBY.

I remember that season was a would be el nino that never quite got going, but it sure as hell evolved like one.

Yea, it was awful...Jerry is right we had an event late in the game, but that doesn't salvage it for me.

Exactly.

Just looking through my modoki la nina composite and its not as bad as one would think...save for 2011-2012, the seasons are only awful if la nina goes off of the rails and is in beast mode. Just as we see with respect to el nino, weaker events have more variability and are not as polarized by structure. I do not think this year will be awful....not great, not bad.

I had no issue with the Feb 2013 blizzard...would have like to have been in the CT death band, but one of my better blizzards.

Nothing to do with this topic...I'm over it, anyway.

Yea, it was a great season, but my point was just that it started poorly in December....I didn't say that the month was absolutely snowless, but it sucked.

Similar here....I think I am at .31" on the month.

Yea, beautiful.

Our definitions of wretched are different. It was a paltry month for snowfall and it was pretty mild, as I recall.

I think the issue is that its difficult to quantify and there are so many different ways to attempt to do so. That looks more realistic than the drought monitor, which seems a bit sensational.

I guess if I had to choose, I actually want the storm because its a bit of a warm up for the cold season and if nothing else, at least gets me accustomed to posting again. Break up the monotony a bit without the anxiety of being heavily invested like winter, when the stakes are higher.

I feel like droughts are a weather phenomenon that is almost always exaggerated.

That is what it has come to......brutal 7 month stretch since the blizzard that queefed in my face.

Part of me would like to see a nice nor'easter to just break up the monotony and set the stage for the cold season, but there is a more sinister side that would like to see how much vegetation we can kill. I guess I don't really care either way.

I posed this question to Raindance awhile back, which he blew off because he has a habit of doing that....but does anyone have any thoughts on the actual physical connection between tropical ACE value and the ensuing pattern during the following cold season? I have never seen it discussed much beyond the just maps illustrating the correlation... My rather crude, "no shit, Sherlock" guess is that the amount of latent heat energy released into the atmosphere can have an impact on shaping the hemispheric pattern for months ahead. I would guess higher ACE would generally support a tendency for greater heights near the pole for several months out. Interesting-

With the way everything is waffling, I'd just go with the national blend and ensembles...expect about 1/2 of liquid for most of eastern MA.

Looks like the blend map that I just commented on. Even a half inch of liquid would be significant.

Even that is a decent little drink out this way.

Yea, I have been thinking that...should be much earlier than last year.

Thank god this isn't winter, or I'd be full tilt.