40/70 Benchmark

Been trying to convince him all season that March wasn't going to Morch.

Hopefully it produces....nothing worse than a cold, dry March. March 2006, 2014 and 2015 were some of the more brutal ones that I can recall.

Funny you say that...some of my early ideas have been for a potential modoki year, though I do not think that the sun is that quiet anymore. I was wondering about '02-'03.

Yes, 2017-2018 was also east-based....though this year doesn't look to have the blocky finish that that season did. It was one of my main analogs.

I have gotten like that at times....mother nature has her own way of handling that.

Thanks, Larry. @StruThiOis correct, though....this event was def. much more coupled with the atmosphere than last season's event, which I was mindful of if you read my outlook. Some real mixed results for me this season...I had December/January reversed from what actually transpired, as I had the PNA being in December...oops. I don't think I am far off in the aggregate, but struggled with timing. Snowfall forecast has largely worked out in the mid atl and near the coast of SNE, but I am looking pretty bad right now across interior NE. It looks good for the big finish that I expected, but not because of a SSW....more Pacific driven. If it works out, I will definitely be transparent about that, as always. I guess if you need to make up ground late in terms of snowfall, its good to not need it to the south and near the coast, which I do not for the most part.

My guess is that may be why we aren't going to be seeing the late season SSW and blocking that I figured we may with the cool east-based ENSO easterly QBO combo.

That is the type of pattern where I could make up some ground on the rest of SNE, but I'm sure Ginxy will find a way lol His spot always does.

4.6 at my place....colder than Monday night.

I could see my area reaching 65"+....tall task, but doable.

Yes, true. I am not trying to imply that there is any specific reason to doubt it....I have been big on that period going back to last fall, but the prudent course of action is to always be leery of amplified solutions at very extended lead times, as you know. All I meant.

Gotta watch to see if that extreme pattern gets modified over time....long way out.

Not really...its all relative. I got boned that year, too...just higher all around numbers. But given a choice between the two, yea, I'd take herpes over chlamydia.

Yea, lower ceiling with safer floor. At this point, even I am okay with opting for the more secure route lol

Exactly what he means....if the chances fail, then it isn't snowy....we don't know that yet.

If I can drop a 30+ spot in March, then I'll be content with this season.

That season had the big December dump, then a lot of warmth. Lots of useless cold with a real dearth of snow this year. Much different story SE, though.

Yea, def. running more into mundane turd territory out this way.

I'd take 2019-2020 over this winter....god's honest truth.

I'd love a repeat of St Paddy Day 2007. Just over a foot of powder around here.

Brockton? I think Boston had 11". It was a nice event in Wilmington...like 18-20" of paste....where I am now, it was pretty epic.

That sounds pretty damn good right now....made a living on those in 07-08.

Yea, three main events this year and they have all CJed from Steve to Will to Boston....kind of a microcosm of the past 4 seasons in the aggregate. That's why he sits back and smiles, while everyone else sweats QPF.