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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Well, in that case....ready the National Guard-
  2. Tough to argue against the 06z GFS SNE blizzard in the face of such run-to-run continuity...
  3. I'm sure you'd be deeply invested in a 1/8/96 redux.
  4. I'm not sure its anger, but rather indifference.
  5. I just hope the are both obvious rain so that I don't end up writing about 2" of slush. Just done....that last event was it for me.
  6. You should start a NNE circle jerk thread for the 3 people and 4 deer that care-
  7. Why? I am okay with cutting the cord on this season and leaping into pleasant weather and baseball.
  8. I really don't see the relevance of the modoki index 9 months before winter...again, last season was east based heading into December...you just saw raindance post that these currents operate on conveyor belts at 3 months lead. Thus your information, while factual, is largely irrelevant within the context of winter '23-'24 dialogue. Maybe it will end up being east based, but it won't be because its east based now.
  9. In what year was the previous record, 1969?
  10. Yep...his auto excuse of la nina is gone, so he will scrambling in the off season to cut off all avenues of hope lol
  11. Put the early over/under on an inch of slush for Methuen...
  12. Yea, I think we're done...but I'm taking some time off from weather. El nino composites can wait until the summer.
  13. I was wrong about that myself. What had you favoring a modiki event?
  14. I would have thought it would have been reversed, ie colder later, since modoki el nino is a colder configuration for the east. Intersting.
  15. I'm not worried about it right now. Hell, this year's la nina was east based until like December...how did that work out-
  16. Even I was a shade above normal for snowfall in January.
  17. This is what have started to incorporate this past fall.
  18. Yep. I think its also stronger if October is cool and November flips.
  19. I think I am guilty of the first, but not the second.
  20. I think I apply that in seasonal forecasting.....its about assessing current conditions, ad nauseum...but I know what you mean haha
  21. BTW, this was @raindancewxIMO....go back read his. Nailed it.
  22. Totally get it. Wasn't meant as a criticism at all.
  23. TBH, I think January being +8 is what sunk my forecast...you replace that with even pedestrian warmth, and most of region hits my forecast seasonal amounts.
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