40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Same here....31.5
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Well, I don't include non-ENSO SST analogs when I do the seasonal, so that is a testament to how much I value it. I'm not saying it alters the pattern, but I think it can help to re enforce it or maybe slow the onset of a disparate regime.
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Its overhyped, but there is somewhat of a feedback after a certain point.
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I'll def see what I can do for Ginxy.
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1995 is one of my favorite years....man, that cane season followed by the best winter ever. I know most were fish, but at 14 years old, I just tracked those things all summer long. It was a great escape for an adolescent with social struggles.
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LOL We all have our demons, John. I probably lead the pack.
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It's not a huge deal, but when looking for best matches, it looks more like a 70-71, 2010-2011 basin wide deal, as opposed to a 99-00 or 07-08. Little nuances like that can be significant since the range of outcomes is so high amongst basin wide events.
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Oh, really? Hmm...I hadn't noticed.
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I commuted...most of my classes were on south campus. 2004-2008.
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Yep, and then I think it warms up some in December again...not a total disaster, though.
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That was the first "Christine " related "stay away" order, no? You were creeping behind bushes around Fox Hall like Michael Myers lol
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.99" total from this past rainfall event.
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That was the same for my area....they were going like 4-8" after the storm had already began, then 8-12", 12-18", etc. They def. had to ramp up for my area...I remember distinctly listening to that NOAA weather radio.
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This is la nina is just about out of time to be anything more than borderline weak/moderate. 12OCT2022 18.9-2.0 24.0-1.0 25.9-0.8 27.5-1.1 Really leaning east now....
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I recall in the wee hours of the AM, just as I was turning over to snow, that they already had a foot. I was like "what the hell is that place"?
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I remember hearing how Boston got 9" and being like "wow, sucks to be them". That is the one that put Worcester on the map for me.
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I remember it vividly....I was in High School and we didn't even get an early dismissal because the forecast was relatively benign.....what a shit-show scampering out into the parking lot in over a foot of paste. I was doing "wheelies" with my old rear-wheel '86 Cutlass Supreme in the corner of the lot lol
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Oh, I thought you just meant on the site. Yea, that is why JB forecasts like that on social media. Agree.
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Yea, baroclinicity only helps if the upper levels allow the system to avail of it.
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Just edge it east 100mi and we'd be nude for days.
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Like the rev says, "hype sells".
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Can't help but wonder how this abundance of baroclinicity due to the jet fuel SSTs around the hemisphere is going to play out this cold season. Should be fun if we can introduce some arctic airmasses into the fray. Maybe celebrate the 30th anniversary in style.
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@512highPhil, are you going to make it on 12/10?
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.75" as of midnight and still absolutely pouring.
