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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, stark contrast to the season thus far in that the model consistency has been great.....these kind of systems of more geared for that.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hate busting high on seasonal snow totals....I would much rather keep snowing and end up low near the coast, in order to make a run at the forecast 70" here....this event could get me to within about 30" headed into March, which is within reach.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Worse comes to worst, I will burn a personal day if Boston doesn't get hard enough to convince Baker....but odds are they will because the state is trigger happy due to covid....although it being school vacation week could play a factor.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    50/50 shot this is my best event of the winter.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, like I said....if its still doing that in another 48 hours, then I will grab a bigger boat. But sometimes we can get QPF GW runs that will slinky back to earth late in the game.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, sell for now.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yikes
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Caveat being that big deform bands are poorly modeled, so even the NARCAN maps will not fully capture it....again, only as good as the model output.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, we need KBOS to get smoked.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    NARCAN is good with thermals away from the immediate coast, and banding....it can be too stingy near the ocean. If it is still that robust come Thursday, I will def consider it more strongly.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, there is a shot for the transfer coupled with the easterly fetch to do that, but I wasn't going there on Sunday, when I issued that first map.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Actually, I lied...I did some bitching the next day when BOX tossed my 31" total.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was like that in March 2018....took me a good year or so to start b*tching again.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Banned.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Plenty of time to consider the really big totals, but in this set up, I wouldn't go over a foot until really close in. You need a lot to go right.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe a little bonanza just inland and through NE MA back to the east slopes of the ORH hills on that easterly fetch.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, hopefully we can get you up here above ground.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    The yellow line is 6".
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why do you broach that issue with me like every day? lol Its pretty robust, I get it....I don't rip and read it. Its the best algorithm for determining precip type, but its still just a tool. Also, its only as good as the data that the model is spitting out, so if the modeled QPF is overdone, so will its snow output. I'll still sell widespread amounts over a foot.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wish you could make your way back up here, Don.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, not bad
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's probably about right....gradient just north of me. Not even kidding.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Kutchera maps can be useful in deformation bands, but that's about it.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    What a screw job in Methuen!! LBSW! FIGURES!! Haha
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know, but cf will collapse.
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