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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That PV lobe N of ME is going to be a big problem for someone if EURO is more right....gonna be a sharp cut off with this one like Jan 2016 and Jan 96 (not saying its of that caliber, just prominent examples that people will remember). The N edge of the heavy snow band will be nuclear assuming this doesn't get shredded. The GFS starts phasing the lobe in over PA and NYS, but the EURO has it out ahead more to the NE so that it shunts the system and doesn't phase until the maritimes. Gonna be an interesting model war....a compromise between the two could be very nice if that PV decided to give that southern wave road head near the cape.
  2. Wow, Euro is like 1-3" east lol I don't know how anyone could be blamed for packing it in if 3/4 fails. Looks good in CT.
  3. I mean the season...and the event to close this month and open March is another fail.
  4. I thinks it's been evident that I understand the potential of this March as much as anyone, but I'm just tiring of going through the motions with little to no reward.
  5. Pay close attention and look beyond the weenies smearing themselves in KY Jelly during any south trends, as said trends may also come with a slow and inexorable march towards pedestrian. That is it for the season for me if this one starts that shit....will cancel subscriptions promptly.
  6. This 3/4 event starts pulling this shit and I'm on to baseball.
  7. Looks like a slight shave in QPF, too...watch the shredder threat.
  8. I don't even care at this point....I lost interest yesterday.
  9. This should have plenty of mositure given its origin...just need to be careful not to shred it.
  10. Speed of movement is the most overrated element of a snowfall forecast. Get the moisture plus the well placed lift/dynamics and the rest will take care of itself given a favorable track. Missing out the additional 3-6" over 24 hours from shredded returns won't kill me.
  11. I like the Berkshires and to a lesser extent ORH hills/NW CT hills with the easterly flow.
  12. Compression looks to be less of an issue here than the Tuesday deal, but not non existent.
  13. These GOM Miller A deals usually come N of modeling.
  14. Hopefully the EURO does just as well in this range as it did with the Tuesday event...but it will probably win the Friday deal because it sucks.
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