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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Knowing the tenor the past several seasons, the rally good stuff will be just north of me. No doubt-
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I gotta hand it to you......you truly are not an IMBY bobo like so many, including me.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    True.....again, not night and day, though....I would still prefer to err on the poleward side of things with respect to the intrusion of mid level warm tongues.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I see the difference now...pretty trivial IMO. I'd still play it conservatively on the south end. JMHO.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not. I guess it just seems like that because I am only now closely scrutinizing things for the first time since Sunday. Didn't mean to come across like that.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    So you agree with me.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't really agree. Looks pretty similar to me.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think 95% of any amounts in excess of 12" are in NH, VT and ME....only shot in SNE is perhaps the northern most ORH hills and northernmost Berkshires.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    NAM looks like its starting to kill me area with easterly flow. Not crazy about that run...ticked warmer in low levels.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shocking turn of events.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its time to heed that warning. Its not handling the vort any differently from the EURO.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Everything is awesome.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Better shot of that is trending this N so that the mid level warm front aligns with the best low level fronto in SE NH.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course it doesn't shift the coastal front east at all...if anything, a bit warmer in the low levels.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree on that...just analyzing the surface fronto aspect. Need to watch residence time of front N of me, too....hopefully its short. This will be a really enjoyable event for me....as long as it doesn't camp out over Salem, NH until 1pm tomorrow lol
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Guidance often lacks the resolution to precisely portray that....I'm not sure it has a lot of residence time west of me, but knowing my luck, it will.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    The cold is is more prominent and settled in across NNE, so I feel like the best surface fronto will be over SE NH and SW ME. My area should get some, but best naked twister is probably north of me because there is more of a gradient there.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro has that CF hang N of me over interior se NH, but I'll bet its closer to my area.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    That makes sense...looks high down south.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is Cobb....looks pretty similar to NARCAN. I like that map....pretty realistic...except maybe too high down south.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, even as a hobbyist that is frustrating, so I can only imagine as a pro....when people hold you to every reaction to every piece of data that rolls in. I just said yesterday, only thing that matters is what I blog.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I notice that the EURO and NAM both place the primary H85 low across the southern end of lake Ontario now...looks like they ultimately compromised on that vort placement.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have been saying this would happen for several days. Always plan for between .75 and 1" QPF with these...ignore higher runs.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very good met...wish he still posted here.
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