40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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PNA should trend towards neutral during the second half of December and perhaps some outright +PNA in January....couple that with a reoccurrence of NAO and the mid Atl should join the fray before we thaw.
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FLU FTW
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My prayers may have been answered in short order.
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Primary still makes to too far N on that for my liking....need it in OH, not MI.
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Too early, but I am usually not worried about that in an RNA/NAO la nina pattern....those occlusion related issues are usually more prevalent in PNA/NAO el nino regimes.
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Crappy posts overnight? Amount of allowed posts per day appear to decrease when that becomes a pattern lol
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I'm not too worried about that right now. Lets just stick with the Miller B commital....I understand it makes sense given the synoptic layout, which lends credence, but these are wholesale morphologies in the evolution of this thing in short order...lets stabilize on that front before we aim for the timing of occlusion with surgical precision.
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You should be skeptical at this range, but this trend was expected....I would be leery of expecting a blizzard, but this is our first major winter storm of the 2022-2023 season. Full Miller B committal. That GFS run is Boxing Day all over for NYC....don't care what the model is spitting out.
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12-16-07 may be a pretty good analog
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I was just breaking your ballz
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Oh man...you always queef in the punch
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Was waiting for this...so much talk about the south coast circle jerk.
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There is a limit w the primary that far N initially
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N of that...warmest layer is prob between H7 and H8
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Don't forget the earliest one when he was "all in" before he was outie then innie..its like he's having emotional intercourse with winter.
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I mean the signature event of the season...generational magnitude possible.
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Bingo....December in a nutshell. Juggernaut event incoming for January...for someone.
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I like how it careens se until it hits my latitude, then levels ene. Chef's kiss porker.
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That run still cuts the low over KCON....not happening with that block. We aren't done.
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And if it doesn't, then George will generate for it.
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Ok, Schowegler
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Compare hour 180 over N Hudsons Bay to 00z
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Yea, I mean in reality...not the run, but it is close.
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Keep correcting...
