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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. The focus in winter seasonal forecasting is on the pattern....H5 plots, etc. This is why I try to add in text narrative explicitly outlining how I expect the season to evolve, which includes snowfall, etc...that is the result.
  2. Right. I'm sure there are plenty of years which featured a pronounced dearth of snow not comensurste with the degree of opportunity. This was my point about distinguishing between a rat pattern and rat results. Some were rat on both respects...this year on results. But I'm sorry, an extreme NAO block like that near the winter solstice is not a rat pattern. Find that in 2011 or 2001...or 2006.
  3. It wasn't a ratter pattern even there. Look at December...that was awful luck.
  4. Problem is that some fail to differentiate the pattern from the result....there is a spectrum of sorts. This year is merely a subpar pattern with a ratter result.
  5. BS Most of the snow lovers on this board will take 2 feet anytime. Is December preferable to March? Sure.
  6. I still have a few inches in the background, but coverage is fading.
  7. It's a good example of why I keep telling that snowman dude to stop cramming tweets of PV charts down people's throats....you don't need a complete evisceration of the arctic to see snow in New England.
  8. Some locales are going to be primed for a run at futility.
  9. I still think March can be decent, but I'm done holding my breath and arguing against the ratter camp.
  10. I think everyone of us would sign on the dotted line to worm-hole our way out of this god forsaken cold season, at this point. There is no bigger meteorological purgatory than a cold season that won't produce.
  11. Things I missed while having the kids all day and being off line..... 0
  12. Funny how the past two epic cold air masses have each occured in terd winters...2015-2016 and this year.
  13. Hopefully north of me...no thanks. Dnt care for days of power loss with a new born and two toddlers.
  14. Just assume rain with every event until something otherwise appears imminent.
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