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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Check out the 928mb EPS member just se of ACK to close out Feb on 2/28.
  2. No one ever resisted the idea that late February was tenuous.
  3. 2018 was actually a touch more negative...but they are both negative.
  4. We can agree to disagree, Scott...but 1956 is a better match IMO.
  5. It would be better to use 1951-2010 as a base period, but I would need to look up the link for that site.
  6. Yes. This is why I liked 1956 more than 2018...not that we are necessarily getting 50". Just as one vs the other.
  7. I would view 1956 on the site that allows you to use 1951-2010 was a base climo period. That outcome is possible IMO...but yea, it's always dangerous to expect it.
  8. I haven't assessed it too much, but why do you say that? The very warm February? I think 1956 had more of an RNA...
  9. The block is coming IMO...two ways we can get porked. Some flukey crap with the PV, like December, or more likely via compression between the block and any RNA derived se ridging.
  10. It had one moderate snow event, but it was very warm with a SSW within 5 days of this one. There was an 80 degree day in SNE.
  11. I'm not using it as an analog...I'm just trying to explain what a late-blooming Miller B pattern looks like. I'm pretty happy with my Feb 2018 analog this month.
  12. For those who are confused enough to use peepers as a means of long range forecasting, take a look st Feb 1969 H5.
  13. Been a few of those runs lately from what I have read on here...I'm not looking yet, though.
  14. Definitely the best outlook. Great job. But I think we can put to rest the notion that I copy your work.
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