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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm also not sure what the RNA has to do with the SSW...they aren't mutually exclusive. Again, March 2018 was RNA...as was many of SNE's most prolific patterns.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    He is one of the ones in CT with like 5" on the season who has become immune to logic as means of self preservation.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You must have missed this one.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't like this SSW as much as that one...JMO. I also think that the RNA will be more prevalent.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    My point is, we would replicate 1956 synoptically speaking and probably end up with less snowfall...so yea, from strictly a snowfall standpoint, its probably wise to take the under on March 1956...that said, soon or later we are going to stop paying for 2025 and that luck with change. More likely next December, but possibly next month.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    @ORH_wxmanand @Typhoon Tiphave been all over that.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Strictly in terms of snowfall? Well, it will probably be closer to normal, so lots...but that doesn't mean that 1956 won't end up being a decent analog synoptically speaking. We could play out latter January into February 2015 again and we probably don't pull off 100" in 30 days. That isn't how analogs work.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm just having some fun with the bravado talk...as I have said before, I could easily see the end of the season failing to produce much, I just have reason to believe that it will be decent snowfall wise. And that isn't out of bias, as some people imply. Ironically enough, the whole pig-headed persistence mindset is a dead-ringer for a bias (not directed at anyone specifically).
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not in February, no...but we don't need a 50" March to validate it as a viable analog.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    One would think-
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's how I have been envisioning late Feb/March. Gradient to blocky...
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its on... just a guess. Ride gradient for awhile until the block forms in March.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it's been obvious for awhile. I highlighted the 20-23rd window as the next viable threat in my Thursday night blog....phase change signal.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    As much as I think that's a viable outcome, I need to see consistency, especially from the main runs..18z always does that shit. Don't be shocked to see 00z less enthusiastic.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sell PNA, buy NAO.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...agreed on all accounts.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    -NAO is easier to snow then +NAO...especially when you have energy constantly dumping out west.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    No one expects the Pacific to change. There is a shot that the arctic does.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    The current state of Nino 1.2 seldom means much with respect to the longer term outlook because it's so unstable. But if anything, I like that its opposite of 2025 because that was the most powerful cannonical el nino in record. I want a modoki.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    3/10/56
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    11-12 was la nina, not neutral.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, and 86-87
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't expect this to be as consistently cold.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    JB does that for clicks....the other dude is a hack.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it's possible, but unlikely...best case scenario. March '18 was a great example of a productive RNA/NAO pattern.
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