40/70 Benchmark

Man, do I love that map.

I like that map.

Wonder if that is a cf..

Tomorrow is rains to route twos

The limitations of this pattern for the MRV are obvious, since the lows are tracking so close by, but a welcomed departure for me is a lower risk of getting caught in subsidence and a greater shot at man-snow. I feel like low level fronto will be pretty close by quite often.

Makes sense that there would be wide spread in a needle threader set up.

Obviously limited some by lack of antecedent airmass, but I wonder if I would get some slight cf action in some of these huggers...

No fun getting a foot of sand, while everyone around you is in whiteout with 30" of powder.

Enjoyable stretch en route. I'll honestly enjoy tomorrow more than I did the blizzard last January.

You should look at something other than snow maps!!

1/23ish?

One of these is going to clobber the region IMO.....if not, then I can wipe my ass with the outlook.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/two-pronged-storm-likely-thursday.html

Final Call for Two-Pronged Storm Thursday-Friday Mixed Bag with Most Snow North on Thursday; Light Snows Friday There continues to be some signs of change in the longer term of a season that seemingly manufactures ways to resist snow and cold throughout the forecast area, and if nothing else, the next system poised to impact the area late this week looks to serve as a reminder that wintry precipitation types are in fact still possible across the region. The Synoptic Situation: Once concept that has not been at all foreign to the 2022-2023 winter season has been deep, closed 500mb lows across the western US and midwest, which in conjunction with the notable lack of antecedent cold air, has been the reason for relative dearth of snowfall across the area. This week does not appear to be any different in that regard. On Thursday morning yet another deep H5 low is forecast to be barreling to the northwest, through the midwest and towards the Great Lakes. However, as potentially a sign of the changes that are underway across the hemisphere, the system encounters an increasing amount of resistance with latitude by way of confluence stationed over southern Canada. This forces the energy to weaken and sheer of to the east, which mitigates the degree of warming that would have otherwise taken place across the northeast. This results in the core of the mid level energy sliding on an ESE trajectory through New York state and across southern New Hampshire. It is along and just to the north of this track where the heaviest snowfall totals will be observed, as warm air advection will maximize lift to enhance precipitation without the precipitation actually transitioning to sleet and rainfall. Additionally, as the core of the upper level energy traverses the are on Friday, a second round of precipitation should break out across the area and that looks to primarily fall in the form of snowfall. Expected Storm Evolution: The storm system will occur in two parts. Round 1 The first portion on Thursday will be triggered by the lift associated with warm air advection from the southwest in the upper levels of the atmosphere, as the upper leve low approaches from the west. Precipitation from round one should break out as mainly rain on Thursday afternoon, with potentially a mix of snow at the onset in hills of NW Connecticut before a change to rain. Precipitation will overspread the rest of the area by Friday evening as primarily rainfall, with the exception of the northern third of the state north of approximately route 2, where the Thursday evening commute may be somewhat problematic. The as warm air advection wanes in the latter stages of round one, the snow will begin to collapse back to the south towards the Mass pike area before tapering to a period of drizzle early Friday morning. The break in the precipitation will fortuitously coincide with the Friday AM commute, however, motorists should be mindful of potentially dangerous freezing drizzle over the interior. Round 2 Light snowfall should begin to break out in association with the trailing upper level energy during round two on Friday afternoon, which may cause some issues for the evening commute with ill timed light additional accumulations. This is when locales south of the route two corridor will see the forecast accumulations before it begins to taper off later in the evening. And end entirely prior to midnight. Final Call: First Call: Issued 12pm Tuesday, January 17

I may finally catch a break.

I'd live-

As someone who trains chest exclusively with dumbbells and in that particular weight range, I am absolutely mortified. I can so envision that happening to me on a dropset.

I still think we recover to near normal snowfall, current frustration notwithstanding.

You have no idea....it was actully a 45lbs plate. I was so scared that I had broken it.

BINGO.

I mean....I was all in on pattern talk until about the week after NYs.....but its tough to stay amped up over H5 heights over Deer Scrotum, Alberta or Foreskin, Saskatchewan when it just isn't snowing.

I feel like the pattern has gotten plenty of talk, but people tire of it after 2 months with very little snow to show for it.

Exactly like my map, save for the 4-6" in N ORH CO.

Dude, I dropped like a 10lbs plate on my foot from off of the squat rack a few months ago....I can't believe I didn't break it. I still have a portion of my toenail that is discolored. I squat with no shoes, too, so thankfully I didn't have my shoes off yet.