40/70 Benchmark

I pride myself in glazing eyes over with excessive data to support what is sometimes fantastically incorrect.

Yea, no real melting....just the last coating off the pavement. Hi was 30.7 with no wind or sun.

Yea...good assessment. I was just under 6" and saw a bit of tree damage.

I agree, I wouldn't say you are a troll. Yes, sometimes trolls are right....being a troll and right are not mutually exclusive. Doesn't mean they aren't dicks or add much to the discussion. By the same token, we have guys on the other end of the spectrum that take shit for always calling for blizzards.

I'd say 2-5 attm.

....or at least the author of the material they are quoting.

Not all of them....some have. My point isn't that cold is always the way to go, but rather that the intention of a troll isn't to add value, but rather detract in a passive aggressive manner by attempting to elicit negative reaction. This is why most of their presentations assume a lazy approach, such as tweet quotes, aside from any concerted forecasting effort.

The irony is that the vast majority of trolls don't offer any forecast...instead opting to simply quote a slew of tweets reflecting their agenda.

Knowledge is power, which is why Omega is the better troll.

I meant relative to 18z, BTW.

Yea, and even that is a win, considering.

I feel like 2-3" will be it here....maybe slight net gain.

Can't be good for anyone down here.

For 12z, yea

Tough to totally ignore that. I mean...a foot? No, but it senses something.

Slight tic back NW.

I would rather err on that side of things with respect to the evaluation, than claiming I was more accurate than I really was. Its nauseating when people do that.

He absolutely knows his stuff.

Ah....so maybe an A- instead of B+. I was still a bit too far south with it.

NAM NARCAN has 3" at KASH....maybe 2" here. Seems reasonable.

Okay, yes. Totally fair. I just feel like it is important to also mention that in the January thread, as opposed to skipping ahead to the return of the torch next month, which is away from the focus of the thread.

Thursday-Friday January 19-20 Verification Largely Successful Forecast Here is the Final Call snowfall map for yesterday's storm: Versus observed snowfall totals: The system was forecast very well, with the notable exception of that fact that snow showers on Friday had slightly more difficulty accumulating than anticipated. This the southern periphery of the 1-3" zone should not have extended south of the Mass pike at all, but otherwise this was a a very accurate forecast. Final Grade: B+

Should have stayed with my southern periphery from First Call, which was near the pike.

Yesterday's snowfall was forecast well overall, but the 1-3" zone extended about 15 miles or so to far to the south. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/thursday-friday-january-19-20.html Final Grade: B+