40/70 Benchmark

This is what I tried to tell people who were trying to brain wash me into rooting for a more consolidated low...it helps areas to the west, that are porked by the nipple low....but now that that is consolidated east faster, its deeper and back in more to screw me. Alot of pro mets this AM just completely could not comprehend that...funny part is, now they will used that as an excuse to say they were right about my map being too high for this area...no shit, because what I said would suck for me it it happened, indeed took place.

Snowfall gradient is gone from more laitudinal this AM, like 3-5-01, to now more longitudinal...like Dec 96, Bliz 88 (not using it as an analog).

No...GFS and NAM would result in very little snow here.

Yea, I get the airmass, but 'cmon....bad luck with synoptics in December and here, if that backs into Mass.

I need to hope that is overdone, as it often is...but if that's right, I have wasted a lot of time on a final call that will be toilet paper in the end....non event. See ya next fall.

This season would be probably once in a lifetime for me for so little snow return on such strong episodes of blocking.

Toss that...with that track, less makes sense here.

Hope GFS is wrong, but that would epitomize the last 5 years for me.

Wow....unreal lol

No work tmw...hopefully my relative's flight is cancelled...4pm tmw

Lol

Play the accordion at my funeral

Eh...that may do it-

You know...sorry to potentially dissapoint you guys, but I feel as though I may be too drained to even melt if I get porked...I have zero left in the tank. Ready for spring.

You're west of me

Don't like that trend..

Sucks here.

You am have had some recent above average seasons, at least...

Would fit the tenor of the last half decade here...south, north, west...all around us lol

Its physically impossible for this area to jackpot..I get that. Topography rules here...but I feel very good about my forecast range for this locale.

Right...sorry. Meant 18z.

Now, you want to tell me you think it will end up a milder outcome than the EURO....okay, then I am listening. But telling me that that 06z Euro run is under 1 foot here here is just wrong. Period.

The 06z euro actually trended a tic colder (vs 18z, not 00z..much mistake) here at H925 warmest point, which is what I would expect given even heavier rates of precipitation. Unless the model is wrong, I am getting over 1 foor of snow. Even the positive depth map has me at a foot...that is a very reasonable floor.

We'll see.