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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    It was more than a single Euro run suggesting over a foot of snow and it was not in clown range.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    25.5". I need about 35".
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I may even have a shot.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would honestly rather not
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    40" was viable, albeit veryunlikely. 20" was even more viable if the NAO wasn't misdiagnosed inside of 4 days. I'm sorry...calling weather enthusiasts expressing dissapointment over that missed opportunity "stupid "implies you are probably the one that needs a break.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least we systems to track...change in and of itself.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    You aren't off of your game. We are trending hard away from PV interaction at day 3-4...that isn't reversing to a large extent.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't been paying much attention to that...Will said the EURO looks like a rainer.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that ship has sailed....the ceiling is probably about a foot.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully one of those later events pan out because it would seriously blow to come out of this with one moderate event.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wish we'd lose you and bring you back for the non existent ones.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'll also had that the margin for error is less...meaning this is more likely to continue trending poorly than it is recapture some of that early potential. Even in a bad winter when CT is desperate for snow....that blows dead goats.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure why we feel the need to blast people for voicing the fact that 7-10" is dissappointing given this had the potential for so much more..."stupidity"? 'Cmon, dude...40" was a very long shot, but this had a very realistic chance to be a pretty high end ordeal and now it isn't. I'm not sure why storm enthusiasts need to pretend that doesn't blow while at the same time being glad that there is a bonafide event en route during a shitty season. The two aren't mutually exclusive.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, IP transitioned to some moderate freezing rain last night while I was shoveling...pack is glazed.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nah...its like 8" here. To me, that is pedestrian...didn't mean to give anyone the wrong idea. Nice storm.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    +4" 25.5"
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had 4".
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think so. The ceiling is certainly lowering, but I'd be pretty shocked if it isn't a widespread warning event.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I agree...I think the capture and crawl scenario has crawled away. We need to hope that wave can close off faster on it's own, which is possible.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it's becoming clear that the route to a big storm is to hope that wave can kind go to town in its own faster...that is the hope for a foot or more, otherwise it's a warning event...which is still no small feat this year.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like that PV energy is a no-go....about 36 hours off on the timing. That lead wave is all in its own, and looked better in a discrete sense, but the less interaction with the PV outweighed that so it was a net loss-pedestrian.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, I looked at H5 south of LI and thought the EURO looked better than 12z,but the clown cut it in half.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very Skillful Thursday (2/23) Forecast Not much to analyze in the aftermath of this system, as the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call was very accurate overall. Final Call: Reality: The only minor flaw is that perhaps the southern periphery of the 1-3" zone could have been slightly further to the north, over the Mass border from Connecticut and Rhode Island. Final Grade: A
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    One of my better efforts, as I had it pretty much nailed down on Sunday. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/02/very-skillful-thursday-223-forecast.html
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    He may not realize it, but he doesn't want that in the canal.
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