40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I think its totally possible....other than that, this is 2001-2002-lite.
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Well....say 9" in early February with a 45" March....54" is not a rat. Its a continuation of my last several uninspiring seasons. Say we run into a another 6" of fluke in Febuary.....near normal-
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I agree with the strat caveat applied.....if we have a February 2018 redux ongoing at the highest levels, then I still won't commit to a rat.
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Denying CC is one thing, but attributing it to every subpar season is another entirely.
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No, I'm with you....its no one's error or fault. Just saying. I am still on the "happy ending" train, but totally get the pessimism.
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Tough to stay optimistic....we've been internet dating for 2 months and are left with a closet full of day 11 blow up dolls.
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Yes.
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EURO is similar to 06z NAM, which was fine....but my money is on the 12z NAM warmer sceanrio. Crap antecedent.....850 low dropping se from NYS through SNH. Yuck.
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NAM and EURO are lock-in-step in taking the decaying H85 low through s NH....not a good way to run a snow event for SNE.
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Yep....go with the NAM. Sell much accumulation even for my area.
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You are lumping in all strong el nino events, which is unwise. Not much difference between 1.5 ONI and 1.7. All of those el nino events were between 1.2 and 1.8ONI. This isn't going to be a 2015 or 1997 intensity el nino.
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So, I'm not sure where you get 30" for next year, but its moot, at this point.
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That is true in the absolute sense of a literal jackpot, but its rare for one spot that usually does well to continue to get boned. I don't expect that overall sentiment to resonate with you because you are a meteorological mercenary that travels at the drop of a hat.
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What did you get in 86-87, 02-03 and 57-58?
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Wow.....EPS is pretty snowy.
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I didn't do a blog for that one, but my Facebook thoughts were a general 2-4" out to 495 and 1-3" points west, which worked out pretty well.
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I don't see depth change for GEM....I think this is too aggressive.
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Maybe not from the whole ordeal, combined. Either way, more suck.
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Maybe that is what Kev is referring to then. I haven't looked at that yet. The way things are going, the snow with the main slug will end up just north of me.
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One thing I feel good about is not having one of those obnoxious seasons that suck, and then produce a perfect winter blocking pattern in April and May. I feel like the timing of any strat assist will manifest in March, and the band aid will be ripped in time for spring.
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Be sure to post pics.
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I agree if you are looking for warning events, but I feel like I have a good shot at topping my "largest" event of the year (2.5").
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Yea, tossed.
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If it works out, great....but my breath honestly isn't held, at this point. I'm prepared for just a ratter.
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Gotcha, bud. Fact of the matter is that many feel the same way, but just aren't as transparent.
