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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Biggest take away is how much more intense the EPS has grown with this signal....more agreement on the capture and tug, but the spread is how quickly....some members over e MA, some over cape and some east. There are more of e MA now bc we have greater agreement on the capture. I think the ACK group is right.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    EPS captures south of ACK and crawls up over cape. Whiff off of table
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like from my area back to ORH for best snows...obviously ORH the most, but as far as lower terrain, I like my spot. I call BS on EURO.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was wondering if having if a bit more beefy for Saturday would have helped Tuesday, but guess not...ultimate FU run to have confluence block the first system, then have it high tail it out in time for a rain bomb 2-3 days later. I still refuse to believe that happens, but if there were ever a winter to squander two periods of major blocking, it's this season.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not the worst think in the world ro be reliant on less proficient phasing at day 5.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean, it's totally possible...I just don't think its right.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Think it's too amped.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Scooter "Those are the risks".
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro will be amped.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its probably like a Dec 92 scenerio where half or 2/3s of that is snow for me and just about all for ORH.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Now watch the EURO sit on my face and fart out a powderfreak bonnanza.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ukie:
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    18z EPS was a small step back.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I disagree. Having the N stream phase in a bit later would have been. This has a much higher ceiling than 8-12", dude.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I used them last weekend.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just wheel me out onto the yard with a few diapers and a laptop and leave me
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    If GFS is warm its bc it hasn't phased the n stream in yet
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I said earlier we need to get this to Friday
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Only 65 years left....I may be blind by 107, though
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    That analog has crossed my mind....
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like EPS held pretty steady from 06z.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I had to issue a forecast right now based upon that EURO run for my area, I'd go 8-14".
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea....none of these products are meant to be substituted for a forecast...hence "rip n' read"...they are "guidance". Its incumbent upon the forecaster to draw upon foundational concepts of meteorology and a firm grasp of local climo to apply them properly.
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