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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...that is what this is.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, we would need it to trend south into like OH, in that case.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Which is what I do not want because it will hook into LI/e MA.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its all about when/if potential capture takes place...often guidance is too fast with it.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    If the N stream interaction is delayed, which has been the trend, then that isn't the case...this is why we see the SLP trending east at 06z, but the parent H5 hanging on longer.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    It actually trended a bit negatively with respect to that.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a hybrid in the good solutions because the N stream dives in. The ones that stay all s stream lack cold.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice trend at 06z:
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am rooting for a delayed capture.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't feel as though it is....you headlined the 3/10-15 period, and a more imminent threat has emerged from said period. Even if no threat did emerge, all you can do is flag the potential. As far as the new thread, I just interpreted that as helping to distinguish between Saturday and Tuesday, not that your effort was invalid.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    It has.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like I will be near the line.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Only on Euro OP
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    UK and EURO each give me 1.5" QPF.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it edged east from 12z.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least its the western outlier.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Keeps insisting on denying the N stream, which limits cold...so, this season.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can see it on the Korean, too...just misses tugging it into e MA.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the UK has an inverted trough due to interaction with the main trough, which almost captures the system.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    How is it reaching? They are models and it's a weather forum...let me know when you see me base a forecast off of it. I view them essentially as ensemble members....
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    966mb stalled on the Korean...
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Korean looks just like UK, only more intense
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    1.5" QPF for me on Uncle...more for Cape Anne.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    UK is a ne MA special...like a toned down version of the 12z Monday Euro
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro seems like the NW goal post attm...when have we heard that before...even a 80/20 compromise in favor of euro would be good for most.
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