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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/major-storm-potential-delayed-but-not.html
  2. It was toying with doing that last night....inverted trough...must have commited.
  3. There will be some compromise....06z EPS was the first blink from that camp....here is a gfs blink.
  4. Reminds me of the UK and Korean last night....compromise between that and EURO would be sweet.
  5. I usually wait for a model to not be an extreme outlier before considering it. Korean and UK were also doing something similar last night, just a bit further east.
  6. I was just saying that the ICON reflects where I think the EPS has been headed.
  7. I'm not talking about the GFS, which has been clueless on this system. Trend is apparent on EPS.
  8. I like that it hooks in from south of the islands and not south of Long Island...that is where I was saying this was headed as far trend with later capture. WNE just need to hope trend is done.
  9. 00z run looked like it had mid level goods west, with lower level deformation maybe with a CF near my area.
  10. Couple ways to look at it because I have had well below average snowfall every season for a half decade, so you could argue my area is "due".....but right, weather doesn't care.
  11. Its because the N stream is catching it later, so it hooks into the cape instead of LI now.
  12. I have zero interest in Saturday and haven't since last weekend. That said, I realized others to the south are interested, so felt as though the other thread was helpful so I don't need to weed out which posts are relevent to my focus.
  13. Which is why I want a delayed capture...this has been the trend.
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