I would rather take my chances with a marginal air mass, than risk subby in a powder bomb...I hate those. Sure, sometimes I'll lose out like last March, but more often than not my area comes through in those.
If someone put a gun to my head, which some east coast weenie may after my past couple of Outlooks....our pathway out of this Pacific origin multi winter purgatory in the east is hurricanes. Uber activity in the Atlantic AND west PAC...just bombard the shit out of that stable ocean configuration and attendant subtropical ridge via an immense amount of upwelling and heat transport.
Just a guess....so Raindance, please don't bump this in October and quote me on it......weak to moderate La Nina. Structure...no clue, but early guidance I have seen looked basin-wide ish.
GEFS and GEPS are huggerish, EPS looks like a late-bloom coastal.
I'll probably do a small heads up for it over the weekend if it warrants....then a first call like Tuesday.